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  #41  
Old 10-04-2007, 11:21 AM
FGators FGators is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

What about if I were to tweak this method to have it based off a consensus of sports writers?

Each Thursday and Friday the Daily News collects 8 experts together to pick like 15 college games and all the NFL games a week.

If I pick against the games where they agree vs the spread (6 out of 8 minimum or 7,8 out of 8) do you think this would be any better?

I'm gonna pick up a paper here and write down the picks in which six of the columnists agree on a college football game and then do the same for the NFL picks they release tomorrow.
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  #42  
Old 10-04-2007, 11:26 AM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
What about if I were to tweak this method to have it based off a consensus of sports writers?

[/ QUOTE ]
What would possibly make you think that a consensus of sports writers will be big enough losers to fade and beat the juice? Honestly, where is your thinking coming from?
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  #43  
Old 10-04-2007, 11:50 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Coin Flips = 50/50% shot.

Your vig: likely -110.

50% <<< 52.4%.

DUCY?

[/ QUOTE ]

FLAWLESS VICTORY.

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #44  
Old 10-04-2007, 12:26 PM
B00T B00T is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
If I pick against the games where they agree vs the spread (6 out of 8 minimum or 7,8 out of 8) do you think this would be any better?

[/ QUOTE ]

No.
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  #45  
Old 10-04-2007, 01:54 PM
FGators FGators is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

Alright I'm not placing these wagers but these are the picks for this weekend's college experiement (note the collection of seven sports writers were polled, at least 5 of them took the opposing team so I would wager on these teams)

Tonight- South Carolina (-3 1/2) vs Kentucky
Northern Illinois (-4) vs Temple
Kansas (+3) vs Kansas State
Clemson (-5) vs Va. Tech
Iowa (+9 1/2) vs Penn State
Florida (+9) vs LSU

The collective records of the panel are 257-261 so after typing all that and realizing this I'm not so sure.

The consensus is 38-36 (need 4 out of 7).

So basically I don't have anything here probably.

I just figured that the consensus in the end would fail...
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  #46  
Old 10-04-2007, 02:03 PM
Crusher19 Crusher19 is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail.
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  #47  
Old 10-04-2007, 03:05 PM
FGators FGators is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say.
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  #48  
Old 10-04-2007, 03:26 PM
27offsuit 27offsuit is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say.

[/ QUOTE ]


If you're looking for an edge, just bet the dog in every sport on the planet that you can bet on.
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  #49  
Old 10-04-2007, 03:35 PM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
your system is to spite bet a newspaper columnist? i just cant see how this could fail.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm just looking for a sports betting edge, simply, and whoever has picked these NFL games (it's been different people over the years) has pulled in like a 45% winning percentage overall, I'd say.

[/ QUOTE ]
Fading some random dude who probably has no idea what he's doing is your edge? WTF man? How can you not see where this reasoning is flawed? I don't know how much more clear this could be.
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  #50  
Old 10-04-2007, 03:37 PM
MikeyPatriot MikeyPatriot is offline
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Default Re: Novice Sports Betting Tactic that may work on the NFL

This thread has gotten way too many responses.
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