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  #41  
Old 09-07-2007, 02:36 AM
 is offline
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

Sounds like any combo of chalk/dog + over/under is a bad idea, so what correlation are you talking about?
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  #42  
Old 09-07-2007, 03:11 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
Sounds like any combo of chalk/dog + over/under is a bad idea, so what correlation are you talking about?

[/ QUOTE ]

dog/under fave/over are correlated.
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  #43  
Old 09-07-2007, 09:26 AM
People_Mover People_Mover is offline
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

should have bet more, but I'll take it.

Settled 2 Team Parlay #83206282 (Win)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
NFL - WEEK 1
(301) New Orleans Saints vs. (302) Indianapolis Colts Under 53, Thu@8:30p (Win)

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 1
(302) Indianapolis Colts -6 (-115), Thu@8:30p (Win)

Risked $50.00 to win $128.46
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  #44  
Old 09-07-2007, 11:00 AM
selurah selurah is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Indy
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
"Both have made improvements over offseason"

this just isnt true. not that i dont agree on the under but there is no way the colts D is better than it was.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah that Colts defense did look a little soft last night. Can't believe they had the nerve to give up that damn 3 points.
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  #45  
Old 09-07-2007, 11:15 AM
selurah selurah is offline
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Location: Indy
Posts: 1,054
Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
saints +6 -110 at SIA seems like a very standard NFL +EV bet

i believe i heard last night the colts lost 5 starters on D from last year including their best player

[/ QUOTE ]

Bob Sanders says hello, and so does D. Freeney for that matter.
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  #46  
Old 09-07-2007, 11:44 AM
nuSFwck nuSFwck is offline
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

ty Bobo for the explanation. That's what I thought, but couldn't really explain it.

I took New001's Saints +3 1H (ty New) and the total under. Good start to the season.
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  #47  
Old 09-07-2007, 04:00 PM
pokergrader pokergrader is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,792
Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
should have bet more, but I'll take it.

Settled 2 Team Parlay #83206282 (Win)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
NFL - WEEK 1
(301) New Orleans Saints vs. (302) Indianapolis Colts Under 53, Thu@8:30p (Win)

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 1
(302) Indianapolis Colts -6 (-115), Thu@8:30p (Win)

Risked $50.00 to win $128.46

[/ QUOTE ]

Must have been tough to watch the end of the game with the under 53. After the pick and brees calling that timeout with 8 seconds left.
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  #48  
Old 09-07-2007, 04:33 PM
Moonshine Moonshine is offline
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Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
I think Indy will win this easily. The Saints offense makes this seem like it will be closer than it will be. The top AFC vs top NFC is -7, so with home field advantage I like Colts here at -6. Might be close at half, but look for the Colts to be dominate in the second half.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice...
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  #49  
Old 09-07-2007, 05:30 PM
 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 254
Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think Indy will win this easily. The Saints offense makes this seem like it will be closer than it will be. The top AFC vs top NFC is -7, so with home field advantage I like Colts here at -6. Might be close at half, but look for the Colts to be dominate in the second half.

[/ QUOTE ]

nice...

[/ QUOTE ]

He's not exactly going out on a limb with this remark. The Colts have been a dominant 2nd half team for years...
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  #50  
Old 09-07-2007, 06:09 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 8,227
Default Re: NFL Thursday

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Sounds like any combo of chalk/dog + over/under is a bad idea, so what correlation are you talking about?

[/ QUOTE ]

dog/under fave/over are supposedly correlated.

[/ QUOTE ]
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