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#41
11-16-2006, 09:23 PM
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Re: I think I know the answer, do you?
one more addendum. what he had (and showed) is apart of his bluffing hands. He must, therefore, call light on the flop - since you have most of the 8s, we'll classify that as the 9s - he must then semibluff it on the turn - then bluff the river. a jack, which may play that way, will take the showdown on the river. better hands then that, like 2 pair, which you beat, typically take the showdown, because there is such a limited amount of hands that MIGHT fold if they bet.
if i was in a groove im sure i could find a way to value bet AJ here (in villains shoes) but most of the time a bet here is a straight or (small %) flush, and rarely (and the odds you have are NOT good enough to call) the type of bluff it was 
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#44
11-17-2006, 01:37 AM
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Re: I think I know the answer, do you?
[ QUOTE ]
bobo, but aejones said he was pretty straightforward in his play postflop - would he play a straight like this? [/ QUOTE ] hells yes this is such a straight line reason why someone like that would bet so little on the turn is they figure hero is drawing dead, and will fold to a bigger bet, and want some $ from their nuts.
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#45
11-17-2006, 01:58 AM
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Re: I think I know the answer, do you?
Wtf are you callers talking about here? Why should the straight be afraid of spades when you're showing so much weakness? They were [censored] runner-runner, it doesn't take a genius to value-bet here. I know the results contradict me, but this is a folfoldfold.
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#48
11-17-2006, 02:45 AM
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Re: I think I know the answer, do you?
[ QUOTE ]
bobo, betting 1/3 pot on a hit straight is straightforward? if this is a flush draw, okay, but on river such a weak bet ? [/ QUOTE ] imo his river play would be fine with a straight. ae made the solid, good laydown, but most people would pay that off. which is why that is a good bet size - people would feel inclined to pay to see what is almost always a T
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#50
11-17-2006, 02:55 AM
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Re: I think I know the answer, do you?
[ QUOTE ]
Pot odds brosef. [/ QUOTE ] cts im a calling station and a pot odds lover, and i highly believe he is bluffing less then 28% (which is breakeven line).
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