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  #41  
Old 10-18-2007, 03:00 PM
prohornblower prohornblower is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

Do y'all know when they announce the AL Cy Young award and the NL Cy Young award?
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  #42  
Old 10-18-2007, 03:07 PM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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Braun hit a ton of home runs, and that it. Period.

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Avg OBP SLG OPS
Braun .324 .370 .634 1.004
Tulowitzki .291 .359 .479 .838

I know the defense and positional factors help Troy, but to act like this isn't close when Braun crushes him in offensive production is crazy.

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uh

BRAR/FRAR/BRAR+FRAR

Tulo: 29/45/74
Braun: 51/-10/41

Braun is the worst defensive 3rd baseman in baseball
Troy Tulowitzki might win a gold glove

if you think these things don't matter, you're wrong

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Did I say that? I made the point that Braun doesn't only "hit a ton of home runs" and the race is closer than people in this thread are making it out to be. If I thought "these things dont matter," then I would have said, "ZOMG Braun is def ROY cuz he's got more OPS and he doesnt clog the bases by drawing a lot of walks."

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...Except that it's not close at all.
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  #43  
Old 10-18-2007, 03:09 PM
SMIGLET SMIGLET is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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Maybe I'm wrong, but it does seem you would want to maximize the AB's of guys with high OBP, and put the players with higher SLG behind them to drive them in. In this case, Hudson should be hitting 1 or 2, and Young should be hitting somewhere 4-6. I'm pretty sure the D'backs would have scored more runs this year with Hudson hitting in front of Young as opposed to the C and P hitting in front of Young.

And it drove me nuts all year watching the Cubs put Soriano in the lead off spot. Just plain dumb.

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couldnt agree more, leadoff hitters shud have an obp of at least 350 imo. Same thing with jimmy rollins, his obp was only like 330-340 but he hits so many home runs, hed def be more effective further down the lineup.
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  #44  
Old 10-18-2007, 03:53 PM
dlk9s dlk9s is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

I have an honest question question about BRAR because I've never really studied any of these "advanced" statistics. In the definition I read on BP, it said that home field is taken into account when figuring out numbers adjusted for the season. My question is: does this imply that road numbers are taken into account separately somehow?

The reason I ask is that (and this could apply to anyone, but it is obviously most applicable for players on the Rockies) it's not just that hitting stats of Rockies players tend to be inflated at home. Many of them also have huge dropoffs on the road. So much, in fact, that if one could make the argument that were they not on the Rockies, their numbers would be pedestrian or even below average. I suppose you could add a few points here and there because they'd get accustomed to their new home field and what-not, but the differences in the home/away splits really stand out to me.

To clarify, it seems to me that there is a difference between adjusting for home park and adjusting for both home park AND away park, if that makes any sense at all.

For example:

Tulo (home/away) -- BA .326/.256, OBP .392/.327, SLG .568/.393, OPS .960/.719

Braun -- .BA .326/.322, OBP .385/.356, SLG .660/.610, OPS 1.045/.966

Even Holliday has a very large difference between his home and away numbers, although his away numbers are still good. Todd Helton's differences aren't as huge.

This isn't a criticism of Tulo. It's an honest question because I want to understand the numbers a little better. I think he's a fantastic player and is either 1a for ROY or 1b. It just seems to me that if he wasn't on the Rockies, his offensive numbers would not even put him in the discussion for the award.

Also, when BP says that a stat is adjusted for the season, does that extrapolate to a 162 game season or just take the numbers as is? The reason I ask that is because Braun produced his hitting stats in two fewer months than those who played the whole season. If he would have played the whole year (assuming he hit at the same pace), he would've had A-Rod numbers and not only would have been a no doubt ROY, but possible MVP.

Then again, he would have had more errors, too. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

At any rate, I would love to own a team with Tulo, Pence, Braun, and Young in the lineup for the next ten years. Heck, Tulo could cover for Braun in the field until Braun becomes an average 3B.
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  #45  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:04 PM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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he would've had A-Rod numbers and not only would have been a no doubt ROY, but possible MVP.


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David Wright says hello and would be more valuable than Braun even if Braun had an extra 100PA on him
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  #46  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:11 PM
dlk9s dlk9s is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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he would've had A-Rod numbers and not only would have been a no doubt ROY, but possible MVP.


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David Wright says hello and would be more valuable than Braun even if Braun had an extra 100PA on him

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I didn't say 100% lock for MVP, I said possible. Christ. I know David Wright is really good. So are Rollins, Fielder, Holliday, and Howard.

But this isn't a discussion of whether people go with the literal translation of Most "Valuable" Player or consider it an award for the best player that year.

Thanks for answering my question.
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  #47  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:12 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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Tulo all the way! it better be anyway, did you guys see his defensive performance in the postseason?? nothing short of amazing. he even had an unassisted triple play this season, i mean come on this should be a no brainer.

of course i'm biased as a rockies fan but whatever, im trying not to be. TULO-GIT TO QUIT!

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I think it should be Tulo, but this is a really bad argument.
He had a seven game stretch where he played great D and got a play, which is pretty much entirely based on luck.

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"seven game stretch"? The dude made 11 errors all season long. He had a 163-game stretch and a lucky play. No one's naming him MVP because of his triple play. He's also hit more HRs than any National League rookie SS. Ever.

Braun hit a ton of home runs, and that it. Period.

The Rockies don't make the playoffs without Tulo. The Brewers missed the playoffs just fine with Braun, and without his glove the last week of the season, they might have actually made the playoffs.

No disrespect to Braun, I hope he has a nice outfield career ahead of him, but there is no way he was the better rookie than Tulowitzki this year.

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Did you read my post? I agree with your conclusion however the following things are irrelevant in determining whether or not the he wins the ROY
He has played great defensively in the past seven games.
He got a triple play
He made 11 errors this season
His team made the playoffs

This is slightly relevant
He broke a record for NL rookie SS in HRs. His HR's are relevant, but the fact he broke a record is meaningless.

Also Braun was the a top 10 hitter in the NL this year. He hardly just hit HRs.

Also 55 fielding runs is probably too much, but it is still like 30-40
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  #48  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:15 PM
dlk9s dlk9s is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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Did you read my post? I agree with your conclusion however the following things are irrelevant in determining whether or not the he wins the ROY

He made 11 errors this season


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Actually, this is quite relevant.
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  #49  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:17 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

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Did you read my post? I agree with your conclusion however the following things are irrelevant in determining whether or not the he wins the ROY

He made 11 errors this season


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Actually, this is quite relevant.

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The fact he had 11 errors is irrelevant. The fact he has really good range and arm strength is not.
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  #50  
Old 10-18-2007, 04:31 PM
Mondogarage Mondogarage is offline
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Default Re: Ryan Braun named Baseball America ROY

Actually, anything that sticks in the mind of the voters is relevant, and that includes video highlights of Tulowitzki's defensive wizardry in nightly web gems, and the video lowlights of Braun's 4 error game that pretty much helped cost the Brewers the division.

I'm not saying it's the deciding factor, but Tulo's arm strength is good range is very relevant, if the voters based any part of their vote on having seen any of that play on BBTN over the year.
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