#41
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
[ QUOTE ]
this assumes he is also folding lots of draws on the turn. [/ QUOTE ] This would definitely affect my decision but I assume exactly the opposite of the player described. |
#42
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
craig i haven't read much of this but you come off as wrong as fvk in the little bit that i read of this thread, lol
thats all i have to say go back to your bantering noooooooooooooooooooobs |
#43
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
nono, like i said i bet turn vs this opponent, but this isnt your typical villain. i really do bet this turn like 10% of the time though i can understand merits of betting more (being harder to play against, harder to read, set up thin bluffs/vbets in the future etc).
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#44
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
I might bet turn and river...
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#45
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
[ QUOTE ]
craig i haven't read much of this but you come off as wrong as fvk in the little bit that i read of this thread, lol thats all i have to say go back to your bantering noooooooooooooooooooobs [/ QUOTE ] I wouldn't expect you to understand because you are a "feel" player right? |
#46
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
[ QUOTE ]
nono, like i said i bet turn vs this opponent, but this isnt your typical villain. i really do bet this turn like 10% of the time though i can understand merits of betting more (being harder to play against, harder to read, set up thin bluffs/vbets in the future etc). [/ QUOTE ] yea, all that stuff has merit too. i came off a little "strong" before and didnt express what i wanted to say. Basically, against most tagfish, the turn is a check because his range is much more pointed towards a Q/midpair type hand. There obv wont be as many draws in his range as there will be in a 38/10 fish's range. So it is opponent dependant definitely, but i think people should give more thought to the REASON that theyre checking behind and not just "2nd pair, i need to check". |
#47
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] craig i haven't read much of this but you come off as wrong as fvk in the little bit that i read of this thread, lol thats all i have to say go back to your bantering noooooooooooooooooooobs [/ QUOTE ] I wouldn't expect you to understand because you are a "feel" player right? [/ QUOTE ] Nothing wrong with being a 'feel' player. Jamie Gold is a feel player - gotta go with your gut mang! |
#48
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] craig i haven't read much of this but you come off as wrong as fvk in the little bit that i read of this thread, lol thats all i have to say go back to your bantering noooooooooooooooooooobs [/ QUOTE ] I wouldn't expect you to understand because you are a "feel" player right? [/ QUOTE ] Nothing wrong with being a 'feel' player. Jamie Gold is a feel player - gotta go with your gut mang! [/ QUOTE ] To each his own |
#49
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
I've always assumed value betting is basic stuff..
You bet 180 into 210 on turn: Hands you're value betting against (I included huge # of flush draws and even TT-88): (42)AcJc-Ac8c,Ac6c-Ac2c,KcJc-Kc8c,JcTc,Jc9c,Tc9c,Tc8c,9c8c,9c7c,8c6c,6c5c,6c4c, 5c4c,4c3c, TT-88 Hands he calls that are beating you: (57) AQs,KQs,Q9s+,AQo,KQo,Q9o+ 99 hands he continues with facing turn bet: you are winning 42/99 of the time he calls= 43%(180)=$76 you are losing 57/99 of the time he calls/raises= 59%(180)=$104 EV= -$28 Ok, to include times he sucks out on you w/ hands he wouldve folded to turn bet: Estimated range of hands he calls flop with and folds to turn bet= (66-33,A7s,A2s,97s,87s,76s): Equity of this range to suck out on you 6.757%= $12 Total Equity of turn bet= -$28+$12= $-16 So, even including tons of draws and 88,99,TT in his turn calling range, you're still losing $16 by making the bet. |
#50
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Re: Standard Hypothetical Situation.
lol mathaments.
you forgot to include the +$17 which comes from being harder to play against in the future. ...sooooo its a +$1 bet. VICTORY IS MINE. |
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