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#41
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So in summation, your feelings are that all teasers should be done whenever you see them without regard for sharpening numbers? Great. What a novel and +EV idea. [/ QUOTE ] uh yea.. you must've missed when i said this [ QUOTE ] also, this where line-movement prediction becomes vital for a capper. anyone who has experience could've seen that wash+3 and caro+3 were moving in opposite directions. [/ QUOTE ] okay i'll give you this, if you're a newbie who is absolutely clueless about line movement and have absolute no opinion on the sides, then yes, it's conceivable that you can obtain a better edge by letting others sharpen the spread for you before you tease.. however, if you have confidence that you have a reasonably sound judgment in regards to line movement. then there is nothing wrong w/ teasing early and derive more ev off the rogue spreads.. using the example of teasing a +3 -130 candidate early (same as +2.5 -110) b/c it finished +3.5 as a reason for why you shouldn't tease games early, is as ridiculous as saying you shouldn't ever bet openers b/c the +3 opener you took straight up *might* have a chance to close at +3.5 in the end, it's all about how sound your judgment in regards to line movement is and not at all about whether +3 -130 is a good tease early or not. |
#42
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If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?
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#43
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If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry? [/ QUOTE ] what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra |
#44
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry? [/ QUOTE ] what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra [/ QUOTE ] Yawn. Priceaments? |
#45
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thx for sucking Eli [/ QUOTE ] |
#46
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nyg -1.5 jax -2.5 cin +7.5 den +7.5 SDG -2.5 RR all for 1 unit [/ QUOTE ] quick math from memory is +1.2 on 3 teamers, and +2u on 2-teamers. |
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