Friday NCAAF picks - Page 5

MyTurn2Raise · #41 08-31-2007, 03:29 PM

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As Mac pointed it I was under the same understanding that the half a point is less likely to effect you in NCAAF comapred to NFL. Also that the NCAAF less often hits the -3 line comapred to NFL.

My analysis involves a probability distribution for each point and in rare cases the 3 point line turns out to be one of the lowest likely outcomes. I understand that there is added value in the fact that in one instance you have the ability to push and in the other you do not.

Thank you very much for your response and I just want to be clear I do not have an ego on these things and agree that objectivity outweighs opinion.

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A cheap and dirty method I use is just going to pinny and using the dropdown menus for spreads

I figure if anyone knows it, Pinny does

sanmarcosrun1 · #42 08-31-2007, 04:02 PM

Ty for this tip. Also I must apologize as I was wrong and as everyone pointed out it is far better to take the advantage of a push over for the 10c. Ty everyone for the help.

NajdorfDefense · #43 08-31-2007, 04:33 PM

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Navy/Temple o51 bet 1.1u to win 1u

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Really? Close game, or Navy just destroys them?

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Well, MT2R disagreed on Buffalo and we're gonna disagree here, although I/we hate differing on these things.

1u to win on u52.5 Temple.

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got the better line when I got home. Maybe still climbing.

NajdorfDefense · #44 08-31-2007, 04:35 PM

using Pinny dropdowns is also key. If you don't know 100% if you're right, they are best, unbiased reference for this stuff.

sanmarcosrun1 · #45 08-31-2007, 05:01 PM

Added another play
1H -1.5 UW 1 unit play as well.

Austiger · #46 08-31-2007, 06:17 PM

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betonline has -3 -110
matchbook had -3 -115 but i think its gone now

my only bet for the night unless bodog puts up some nice props

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I'm only on Bodog and WSEX. Are those U.S. friendly sites? What sites are worth it for an American casual line shopper to invest money on?

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IMO, you should have accounts at pretty much everything on the first page of SBRLines line movements

well...Pinny is non-US, but the rest are good
bookmaker, thegreek, matchbook, betJamaica, WSEX, 5dimes, betonline, legendz, bodog

plus it makes line shopping easy

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Great. Thanks.

Ichabod1985 · #47 08-31-2007, 07:20 PM

Navy/Temple Under 52.5 1 Unit
Temple +21.5 & Under 52.5 Parlay 1/2 Unit

greg44 · #48 08-31-2007, 07:59 PM

I'll be on the other side.... you're going against Oddshunter (not a good thing)

although it is week 1 and nobody knows much at all but I wouldn't be fading him in the future.

MyTurn2Raise · #49 08-31-2007, 08:06 PM

oddshunter?

EDIT: Nevermind...whipsaw pointed him out to me at Las Vegas Advisor. Seems like a good NCAAF capper. Thanks for the input. I'll be watching him.

greg44 · #50 08-31-2007, 08:16 PM

posts college football totals over at fezziksplace (I think I've seen them at EOG too), cashed in the Hilton last year (mighta been top 5 or 10 but I know he did well) but the main point.... he's really really good and you don't wanna be on the other side of his stuff.