*** ALDS Game 2: Yankees vs. Indians (Pettite/Carmona)

[Riverman]

Memo to Brian Cashman: loading up on aging hitters doesn't help in the playoffs. Spend the money on a bullpen please k thx.

[SL__72]

+1.11u on Sabathia.
+1.18u on Carmona.
+1.5u on Indians winning the series?

I really should grow some balls when I have a chance to bet on the Yankees in the postseason...

[Neuge]

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run expectancy charts have 1&2 no outs and 2&3 w/ 1 out essentially even. factor in success rate and IDK

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And factor in Sizemore vs. Droob.

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Wrong chart. Check RunEx for bases loaded 1 out since they are going to walk Sizemore.

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Run expectancy is wrong anyway because you only need 1 run...?

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Win expectancy is pretty much identical as well (.795 vs .796). Win expectancy with bases loaded 1 out is .834

[bottomset]

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I want to kill myself for not going to this game. But WOWOWOWOWOW, Instant Effing Classic.

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I want to kill myself for being lazy and not getting money on a sportsbetting site to get in on the +180 action

[Triumph36]

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Memo to Brian Cashman: loading up on aging hitters doesn't help in the playoffs. Spend the money on a bullpen please k thx.

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lolll

memo to foolish fan - great bullpen arms usually aren't available in the offseason, and if they are they want to close.

this is just a sick cooler.

[Riverman]

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Memo to Brian Cashman: loading up on aging hitters doesn't help in the playoffs. Spend the money on a bullpen please k thx.

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lolll

memo to foolish fan - great bullpen arms usually aren't available in the offseason, and if they are they want to close.

this is just a sick cooler.

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Wrong.

[kyleb]

I had/have:

Sabathia vs. Wang +110 (WIN)
Carmona vs. Pettitte +120 (WIN)
Indians win the series +180
Indians sweep the series +1200

OH LAWD LET ME GET THERE ONE TIME

(also have Diamondbacks win the NL Pennant +5000)

[iron81]

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I want to kill myself for not going to this game. But WOWOWOWOWOW, Instant Effing Classic.

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I want to kill myself for being lazy and not getting money on a sportsbetting site to get in on the +180 action

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Kyleb has a Cleveland sweep at +1200

[Kos13]

http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

WE with 1st and 2nd, 0 out: .816
WE with 2nd and 3rd, 1 out: .839

Also, you have to at least skew it slightly for the chance of Blake popping up the bunt or bunting it so poorly that Jorge throws Lofton out at third.

EDIT: IBB to Sizemore drops it to .835...still more than 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

[SL__72]

Wow, sick bet on the Diamondbacks.

I wish I jumped on the Indians sooner and got the sick early +180.