NCAAF Team totals plays

[dmoney416]

A little more ammo for the Syracuse bet:

Tom Ferron, the team's starting TE, has quit the team. He led the team in catches last year with 30 and was 2nd in yards with 351.

[bevo_stevo]

After re-jiggering my algorithm, the numbers for Syracuse were brought more inline with the book's estimates. I apologize if anybody mortgaged their house on my bogus estimates.

Syracuse Season Wins: 4.017
Washington (4.0) 0.391
@Iowa (18.0) 0.112
Illinois (3.0) 0.416
@Louisville (25.0) 0.015
@Miami Ohio (2.0) 0.472
West Virginia (19.0) 0.102
Rutgers (11.0) 0.235
Buffalo (-17.0) 0.872
@Pittsburgh (7.0) 0.31
South Florida (9.0) 0.282
@Connecticut (-2.0) 0.528
Cincinnati (9.0) 0.282

South Carolina Season Wins: 7.253
Louisiana-Lafayette (-29.5) 0.985
@Georgia (8.0) 0.293
South Carolina State (-37.5) 0.99
@LSU (13.0) 0.206
Mississippi St (-12.0) 0.78
Kentucky (-3.0) 0.584
@North Carolina (-9.0) 0.718
Vanderbilt (-14.5) 0.83
@Tennessee (6.0) 0.354
@Arkansas (1.0) 0.488
Florida (3.0) 0.416
Clemson (-4.0) 0.609

Georgia Tech Season Wins: 7.089
@Notre Dame (5.0) 0.374
Samford (-36.0) 0.99
Boston College (-2.0) 0.528
@Virginia (1.5) 0.434
Clemson (-2.5) 0.551
@Maryland (3.5) 0.4
@Miami FL (6.0) 0.354
Army (-25.0) 0.985
Virginia Tech (3.5) 0.4
@Duke (-20.0) 0.914
North Carolina (-10.0) 0.746
Georgia (3.0) 0.416

[Faluzure]

What do you guys think of PSU 9.5 -130? As a PSU student I like the under a lot, but I guess it's closer than I think if you guys haven't mentioned it yet.

[pirateboy]

Guys, easy money with Arizona State ay 7.5 wins. They could have that many by November.

09/01 San Jose St
09/08 Colorado
09/15 SDSU
09/22 Oregon St
09/29 at Stanford
10/06 at Wash St
10/13 Washington
10/27 California
11/03 at Oregon
11/10 at UCLA
11/22 USC
12/01 Arizona

Probable wins: SJSU, Colorado, SDSU, Stanford, Washington, Arizona, Washington State

Toss-ups: California, Oregon State (both in Tempe)

Probable losses: USC, UCLA, Oregon

The only game on the schedule where they have no chance is the USC game.

[Thremp]

Heh. Cal isn't a "toss up". Check the other thread.

[bevo_stevo]

[ QUOTE ]
What do you guys think of PSU 9.5 -130? As a PSU student I like the under a lot, but I guess it's closer than I think if you guys haven't mentioned it yet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Your intuition agrees with my model, heres the numbers that I have.

Penn St Season Wins: 8.355
Florida International (-38.0) 0.99
Notre Dame (-8.0) 0.707
Buffalo (-33.0) 0.99
@Michigan (6.5) 0.339
@Illinois (-7.0) 0.69
Iowa (-4.0) 0.609
Wisconsin (-1.0) 0.512
@Indiana (-5.0) 0.626
Ohio St (-2.5) 0.551
Purdue (-7.0) 0.69
@Temple (-37.0) 0.99
@Michigan St (-6.5) 0.661

[pirateboy]

[ QUOTE ]
Heh. Cal isn't a "toss up". Check the other thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

The other thread isn't God, if you know what I'm saying. The ASU/Cal game in Tempe is a toss-up. Cal is going to lose 3-5 games, ASU is going to lose 3-4 games. Cal's being pumped again in the national media, thus lines are going to reflect that.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Heh. Cal isn't a "toss up". Check the other thread.

[/ QUOTE ]

The other thread isn't God, if you know what I'm saying. The ASU/Cal game in Tempe is a toss-up. Cal is going to lose 3-5 games, ASU is going to lose 3-4 games. Cal's being pumped again in the national media, thus lines are going to reflect that.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gimme Cal +1 even money on season wins. I'll take action as high as you want.

[pirateboy]

Why should I? You should be giving me Arizona State +1.5.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Why should I? You should be giving me Arizona State +1.5.

[/ QUOTE ]

Then why did you say that Cal will lose 3-5 and Arizona St. will lose 3-4. Perhaps Cal +.5 would be better. Or maybe you just don't know what the [censored] you are talking about. Atleast back your ridiculous assertions with wagers to match.