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  #31  
Old 06-07-2007, 12:18 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

You need to be ahead about 30% of the time to call. You're actually ahead about 75% of the time given the board and the action. This is a ridiculous fold.

What this hand actually looks most like to me is something like AT or even QJ that called with overs + straight draw and is trying to steal after you played it weakly and they whiffed. I'd strongly consider calling with AK here.
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  #32  
Old 06-07-2007, 12:29 PM
adios adios is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

[ QUOTE ]
....But after i check the turn he's gotta think there i a good chance that i have nothing. Why would he VB if he thinks i have nothing? Why would he bluff if his 66 beats my assumed nothing?

[/ QUOTE ]

So he thinks you've got nothing and bets $42 to try and convince you he's got nothing too? Don't follow the logic here? Put another way if he thinks you've got nothing what hands does villan expect to get a call from when he bets $42 on the river??????????
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  #33  
Old 06-07-2007, 06:48 PM
KLJ KLJ is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

what if he thinks you have a better nothing than him?

if we're folding TT here, he could be bluffing with 9x then.
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  #34  
Old 06-07-2007, 07:03 PM
Casper05 Casper05 is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

this is terrible. You folded on a dream river card.
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  #35  
Old 06-07-2007, 07:16 PM
bilbo-san bilbo-san is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

[ QUOTE ]
Do you guys really expect somebody who is playing 20/9 to call from the SB with 98 or 87.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL, omg yes. 20/9 is textbook "bad TAG" stats. He's not folding the SB with anything as pretty as 98 soooooted and he sure as hell isn't the re-raise-or-fold type with only a 9% pfr.
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  #36  
Old 06-07-2007, 07:17 PM
traz traz is offline
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Default Re: Folding an overpair on a safe river.

[ QUOTE ]
are you kidding me? call with a fist pump

[/ QUOTE ]
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