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  #31  
Old 03-31-2007, 04:28 AM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Default Re: AL team futures

[ QUOTE ]
NL team futures

refer to earlier post for projection links

Arizona Diamondbacks
to win division 6-1
to win NL 25-1
to win WS 60-1


my favorite play of the year. i'm just quoting widely available lines here, but i got as high as 9-1, 35-1, and 100-1. kyleb says he got even better on the NL.

[/ QUOTE ]

What if I told you I got it at 50-1?
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  #32  
Old 03-31-2007, 04:37 AM
bugstud bugstud is offline
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Default Re: AL team futures

you might get death threats and your account hacked?
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  #33  
Old 03-31-2007, 04:56 AM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Default Re: AL team futures

[ QUOTE ]
you might get death threats and your account hacked?

[/ QUOTE ]

I got it at the Venetian prior to the trades :P
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  #34  
Old 03-31-2007, 05:40 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: AL team futures

[ QUOTE ]
What if I told you I got it at 50-1?

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, i saw the post. mild jealousy here, but i'll take my volume over your higher ROI.

the arizona WS share price and volume are making big jumps (relatively speaking) on tradesports recently. interesting.
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  #35  
Old 03-31-2007, 11:27 AM
thing85 thing85 is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s baseball picks 4/1-4/7 (incl futures)

[ QUOTE ]
The most important thing to consider is how likely Piazza won't play 140 games, and then the potential money you lose by having it locked up for 6+ months.

[/ QUOTE ]

Isn't Piazza DHing? Why wouldn't he play 140 games?
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  #36  
Old 03-31-2007, 11:33 AM
New001 New001 is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s baseball picks 4/1-4/7 (incl futures)

He's a 37 year old former catcher, and he's gotten 140 games in 5 of the last 15 years or so?
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  #37  
Old 03-31-2007, 11:44 AM
thing85 thing85 is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s baseball picks 4/1-4/7 (incl futures)

He played 126 games last season (not to mention 68 RBIs) as a catcher. This season, he will be playing a much less physically demanding position (i.e. sitting on the bench). I don't think squeezing out an extra 14 games is too unrealistic. The RBIs will not be an issue.

And even if you think he might not hit 140 games and the bet will be graded as no action - just don't bet a lot on it? If you bet a unit or two on the other props, bet .5 or 1 unit on this one. It's really not a big deal.
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  #38  
Old 03-31-2007, 05:30 PM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Default Re: AL team futures

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What if I told you I got it at 50-1?

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, i saw the post. mild jealousy here, but i'll take my volume over your higher ROI.

the arizona WS share price and volume are making big jumps (relatively speaking) on tradesports recently. interesting.

[/ QUOTE ]

Obviously your volume kills my ROI, I'm just in it for the rooting shares.

I like all of your bets, but don't like the reasoning on the Takashi Saito bet. That assumes that the Dodgers' management actually pays attention to anything, which has not held true in recent history. That being said, I still like the under.
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  #39  
Old 03-31-2007, 05:30 PM
kyleb kyleb is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
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Default Re: crockpot\'s baseball picks 4/1-4/7 (incl futures)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The most important thing to consider is how likely Piazza won't play 140 games, and then the potential money you lose by having it locked up for 6+ months.

[/ QUOTE ]

Isn't Piazza DHing? Why wouldn't he play 140 games?

[/ QUOTE ]

It's still a possibility that he could sit in favor of people like Durazo or others as the season goes down the stretch.
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  #40  
Old 03-31-2007, 05:49 PM
Your Mom Your Mom is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s baseball picks 4/1-4/7 (incl futures)

what do you think of Derrek Lee over .284 BA at -130? He hit .335 in 05 and .286 in 06 playing hurt a lot of that time.
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