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  #31  
Old 02-04-2007, 07:04 PM
PokerFink PokerFink is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

It's not 80/20, but the defense recovers a WR fumble more often than the offense. The further down the field, the more often the defense recovers.
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  #32  
Old 02-04-2007, 07:10 PM
guids guids is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

Where are you guys getting your info that the betting public is on the bears??

http://www.caribsports.com/docs/ALL.caribpicks.html

http://sportsbook.com/sportsbook/betting-trends.php


Ive also talked to a few local guys today, and they all show about teh same as the offshore websites.
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  #33  
Old 02-04-2007, 09:12 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

I'm just saying it's nowhere NEAR 4-1 against, in addition, many sideline fumbles go out of bounds and would be retained by the Offense.
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  #34  
Old 02-04-2007, 09:18 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

u23-115 looks OK
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  #35  
Old 02-04-2007, 09:31 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

I took o22.5 for small.
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  #36  
Old 02-05-2007, 12:05 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

[ QUOTE ]
I'm just saying it's nowhere NEAR 4-1 against, in addition, many sideline fumbles go out of bounds and would be retained by the Offense.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ah okay. I just made that number up. Sorry. I should've said a sig amount of fumbles get nabbed by defense.
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  #37  
Old 02-05-2007, 01:15 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

From your site:54% on Bears 86% on CHI moneyline! 68% on Over.
From wagerline, 56% on Bears ATS.

Bears have been big public play all year.
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  #38  
Old 02-05-2007, 01:20 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

[ QUOTE ]
From your site:54% on Bears 86% on CHI moneyline! 68% on Over.
From wagerline, 56% on Bears ATS.

Bears have been big public play all year.

[/ QUOTE ]

The line moved off the 7 as well. Seems like a std move.
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  #39  
Old 02-05-2007, 01:27 AM
rjp rjp is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

IMO wagerline is useless for the Super Bowl. Everyone comes out of the woodwork to bet on the SB and many of them have never heard of wagerline. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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  #40  
Old 02-05-2007, 06:19 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Where is the smart/sharp money going on the SB?

Again, Bears were big public play all year.
ML on Colts dropped from -260 to -200/210 by gametime.
Line dropped from 7/7.5 to 6.5 much earlier in week.

Sharps were not taking CHI -6.5.
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