#31
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Re: AA - I _know_ I\'m beat, where do I fold?
[ QUOTE ]
"Overpair on a ragged flush draw board" and hero gave his read as "I've only been at the table for a couple orbits, and I have no specific reads yet." [/ QUOTE ] "Ragged" makes it worse because KQ type hands won't be overplaying top pair. And I would fold this with no reads whatsoever. [ QUOTE ] Suppose you're ahead at the moment and that you've got about 70% equity in this 17 BB pot because you're against a pair and flush draw (BB). Since UTG looks like he's stacking off, you can reasonably expect you, UTG, and SB to be putting in 3 bets each by the showdown (SB has two more to put in, UTG has one more to put in). [/ QUOTE ] This is a point deserving of its own thread after I look over that math I mentioned above, but let's just say that I think you're grossly underestimating just how much of a parlay this is. |
#32
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Re: AA - I _know_ I\'m beat, where do I fold?
I would fold this turn and if it turned out I was wrong I wouldn't feel that bad about it
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