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  #31  
Old 11-04-2006, 08:22 PM
Crix Crix is offline
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Default Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

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Hi BigAlK:

Yes. If Player A at some point in a tournament has more chips than Player B then he is a favorite at that instant over Player B. And in your example, Player A does have a 2/3's chance to win the tournament.

best wishes,
Mason

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Surely this is only if A & B are the now the only players remaining at the point A doubles up. If there's 200 people in a tournament, player A doubles up on player C on the first hand you can't tell me he now has a 67% chance to win outright.

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Of course not. The example was for a heads-up situation.

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The phrase "at some point in a tournament" does not imply we have reached heads-up play.
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  #32  
Old 11-04-2006, 08:28 PM
BigAlK BigAlK is offline
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Default Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

Since we're parsing sentences. Mason's first sentence says that if at some point player A has more chips than player B that player A has more chance to win than player B. The 2nd sentence reads "in your example." Go back thru the thread starting with this one and you'll see that the 2nd sentence is talking about heads up.
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  #33  
Old 11-04-2006, 08:54 PM
Crix Crix is offline
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Default Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

Thanks for the clarification.
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  #34  
Old 11-05-2006, 12:40 PM
Lottery Larry Lottery Larry is offline
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Default Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

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Hey, Mason. Have you given the book a rating yet?

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I think in the October forum magazine
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  #35  
Old 11-05-2006, 12:41 PM
Lottery Larry Lottery Larry is offline
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Default Re: Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

"I thought that most agreed that it is best to play with a 'win at all costs' type mentality because it's higher EV than just playing a weaker game designed to barely get you into the top 10% to make it into the money."

I thought that there may be short-stack situations near the bubble where the best EV is NOT to play to win at all costs?
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