1.6k pot at 200NL - Stars is rigged, obviously

[derosnec]

if an alien was to visit this site and read all responses to posted hands, he would conclude that no one has ever played a poker hand correctly

[FBP]

He's getting 822:400 direct pot odds, and can expect a call from hero quite often meaning 1150:400 odds.

Worst case scenario for his hand is like :

Board: 9d 6d 2c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.829% 26.83% 00.00% 1980 0.00 { 8d7d }
Hand 1: 56.951% 56.95% 00.00% 4203 0.00 { 99 }
Hand 2: 12.927% 12.93% 00.00% 954 0.00 { AdJd }
Hand 3: 03.293% 03.29% 00.00% 243 0.00 { AA }


3:1 odds, so marginally -EV in worst case scenario.

Best case scenario is obviously:

Board: 9d 6d 2c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.878% 49.88% 00.00% 11043 0.00 { 8d7d }
Hand 1: 41.220% 41.22% 00.00% 9126 0.00 { 99 }
Hand 2: 04.512% 04.51% 00.00% 999 0.00 { 66 }
Hand 3: 04.390% 04.39% 00.00% 972 0.00 { 22 }

So yeah, that's a pretty clearly bad fold.

[betgo]

[ QUOTE ]
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I bet when the diamond hit you were like...there goes that

[/ QUOTE ]
BB (carrotsnake) folded 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. THANK THE LORD.

[/ QUOTE ]

obv put someone on higher flush draw. with all that action i wouldn't fold. just hope they all flopped sets.

[/ QUOTE ]
Terrible fold. Typical online nit. There is a good chance no one has a flush draw, and even so you are getting close to odds for OESD.

[Zaid_Ahmed]

[ QUOTE ]
erm, 200bbs deep with no FE and only every gonna be 50% at best when someone is VERY likely to have a set, and maybe someone retarded is there with a higher flush?????

action went check, bet, raise, shove for 300bbs effective, cold call from checker...


easiest fold ever

[/ QUOTE ]

to be fair OP already said he had top set so assuming he's not talking crap and is going all in, carrotsnake needs to call off $400 to win $1600 with an open ended straight flush draw. the fact that he's 200bb deep is irrelevant imo. Also OP and the other villian are pretty deep. I doubt either are going crazy with AQdd here and makes it more likely they both have sets.

Edit: re-read OP. Not $400 to win $1600 but whatever, I never fold this.

[morphball]

I doubt that some one folded 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] here, but lol if they did. I think I OP should be reported to stars ASAP, that is FUBAR, and I don't care if he had a woody.

[johnnyrocket]

[ QUOTE ]
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I bet when the diamond hit you were like...there goes that

[/ QUOTE ]
BB (carrotsnake) folded 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. THANK THE LORD.

[/ QUOTE ]

what the [censored] who folds that

[/ QUOTE ]

he has equity all day here with this hand, what an idiot

i posted in SSNL, so ballin to have over 2K on a 200 max table, you should have sat all month til you hit 10K.

[Acein8ter]

Don't see set, over set, over set too much... NH

[tufat23]

ok i'm sold on calling, but i still would think that given the info carrotsnake had, the time he had, and the unlikelihood of having ever seriously analysed this spot before, a fold is good.

[SkinnyLittleTwig]

lolllllll never fold that

this isn't the wsop final table, wasicka had two million to win just by folding, but here you win nothing except the ridicule of all non-nit real men everywhere

[carrotsnake]

I made a fold at the time which I thought was correct, but in hindsight wasn't. I squarely put the 2nd dude on something like A3dd. Apparnetly I was wrong. I also forget I actually had the OESFD and not a fake one. OH welllllll.

Also, the censored thing wasn't like a bad word or anything, I was joking. I don't really care. KThxBye <3