Everything you ever wanted to know about Cal Football

[Thremp]

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Sorry, accidentally spelled 'pirateboy' 'Thremp.' My typing often sucks.

So - same post, but directed at pirateboy.

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay. Thats fine.

[rsigley]

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You think that Cal is going to go 1-5 or 2-4 against those 6? You can't actually, really think that... If you think we are getting 1.5 wins in those 6 games, I'll take a prop bet for $5000 at +170 that we go at least 3-3.

Matchbook X-bets, holler if you can put your money where your mouth is.

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did this bet ever happen? Cal 2-3 in those games now

[pirateboy]

It never happened, mostly because I don't bet with non-sportsbooks. Plus, 3-3 would have proven my point more than his, but he wanted the 3-3 to win his bet.

In the end, I was correct on my call that Cal was a fraud this year, and that this guy was pumping them up. It's okay, I pumped Tennessee up and they are awwwful.

Cal should be 1-4 in those games, but got some luck.

[hedgie43]

Like the luck of having their starting QB injured against Oregon State?

[pirateboy]

Yup, or you know, getting a fumble return TD and PR TD against Tennessee. Or being outgained by Oregon by 100 yards and winning.

So, your point is a good one, thus, back to 2-3 being the true record in those 5. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[hedgie43]

How was the PR TD against Tennessee luck?

[pirateboy]

I don't care if it's Desean Jackson, Devin Hester, or Dante Hall. PR TDs are luck, just like KR TDs and defensive TDs. It's variance.

[hedgie43]

Having watched Colorado's completely useless punt returners this year, I would beg to differ. Are you saying long passing and rushing TDs are luck too?

[pirateboy]

I honestly like using the word variance, and yes, I do consider most super long runs and pass TDs variance. Not all, though. For instance, let's say Team X plays Team Y, and Team Y outgains Team X 350-200, and Team X covers the +8 spread by a score of 14-7. Team X's TD came on a 90 yard TD pass.

That's variance, and that play covered like 47% of their total yards. Not indicative of what happened.

[hedgie43]

It is variance, but then so is everything that doesn't happen 100 or 0% of the time. Obviously some punt returners are going to score more often and average more yards per return than others.