Question for David Sklansky or other probability/poker theory experts

[JavaNut]

Doing computer simulations is probably a better approach to this. I might try out something like this also, perhaps modify my model to see how much needs to change to get a losing game.

Your result so far does indicate that you are still winning. My gut feeling was that the cash taken out would more or less equal the cash put in by villain, so that in the end you would be the only one putting in cash. Perhaps I was wrong.

[drj003]

So you are losing at Party and winning other places. Try playing a different site. Just try it. Why not?

[drj003]

[ QUOTE ]
Doing computer simulations is probably a better approach to this. I might try out something like this also, perhaps modify my model to see how much needs to change to get a losing game.

Your result so far does indicate that you are still winning. My gut feeling was that the cash taken out would more or less equal the cash put in by villain, so that in the end you would be the only one putting in cash. Perhaps I was wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you asking who would win if one person had a 50.0001 chance of winning and the other guy had 49.9999 and also pocked a dollar every hand? I would say the guy with the dollar. What does this have to do with this guys losing streak though?

[drj003]

Pocketed*

[plexiq]

[ QUOTE ]

Are you asking who would win if one person had a 50.0001 chance of winning and the other guy had 49.9999 and also pocked a dollar every hand? I would say the guy with the dollar. What does this have to do with this guys losing streak though?

[/ QUOTE ]

As long as the 50.00001 guy has +EV for every single bet, he wont be losing in the "overall game". Combined -EV bets will not suddenly become +EV, thats why roulette-"strategies" dont work.

[drj003]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Are you asking who would win if one person had a 50.0001 chance of winning and the other guy had 49.9999 and also pocked a dollar every hand? I would say the guy with the dollar. What does this have to do with this guys losing streak though?

[/ QUOTE ]

As long as the 50.00001 guy has +EV for every single bet, he wont be losing in the "overall game". Combined -EV bets will not suddenly become +EV, thats why roulette-"strategies" dont work.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, but the dollar every hand would compensate I think for the .0001 advantage. Roulette has a much higher advantage than that btw.

[plexiq]

He doesnt win anything from this dollar, he just takes his own money from the table. How would that help him EV wise?

[drj003]

I thought they were saying that he gets a bonus dollar every hand.

[plexiq]

Nope, the 49.9 player is just "cashing out" max. 1$ per round - if he has any money left on the table. At least thats how i understand it.

[drj003]

Oh ok gotcha. I'll go back to sleep then. 8-)