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#34
08-01-2007, 01:45 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
omg its 1 buy in first of all, and more importantly YOU HAVE A SET with 2 overs on the board. at least give him a chance to show up with a slow played QK QA QJ KK AA 44 etc
this hand is a huge mistake 
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#35
08-01-2007, 02:30 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] he probably never has a set [/ QUOTE ] I could definitely see this kind of villain show up with QQ here. [/ QUOTE ] He probably shows up with 222 just as often, plus 444 is a possibility as well, although JJJ makes some sense also. I agree with the others though, I think this is a definite river raise as played.
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#36
08-01-2007, 02:44 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] he probably never has a set [/ QUOTE ] I could definitely see this kind of villain show up with QQ here. [/ QUOTE ] He probably shows up with 222 just as often, plus 444 is a possibility as well, although JJJ makes some sense also. I agree with the others though, I think this is a definite river raise as played. [/ QUOTE ] Not to derail the thread, but I think QQ/44 are way more likely than 22.
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#37
08-01-2007, 02:54 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
his range here looks like mostly nuts or air
if you had 22 instead of 55 then I'd be pretty happy with just calling the river, but given that he might show up with 22/44 here it's much closer... but I think 22 and 44 both bet the flop more often than QQ does. A3 and 63 probably bet the flop almost always as well.
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#38
08-01-2007, 02:56 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
sorry man, seems like a clear -g et more money in at absolutely anytime with 100 bbs
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#39
08-01-2007, 03:38 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
[ QUOTE ]
well I think he'll bet more hands than he checks again. Stuff like T high would be a big part of a bad 34/19's range, and he will stab at it when we check twice. [/ QUOTE ] huh? he stabs the flop with those
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#40
08-01-2007, 03:49 PM
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Re: am i crazy for thinking that i shouldn\'t raise here?
a lot of people check these wet boards back when they whiff entirey, thinking that they get called a ton on the flop... planning on firing the turn if we still show no interest,
it's reasonable to assume he will fire air if we check again on the turn.
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