i'm embarrased to post this: setting up an arbitrage on American Idol

[Z-Dan]

Will Elliott Yamin be voted off tonight?

Yes is paying +470 at Pinnacle. Might not happen, but I like those odds.

[smbruin22]

yeah, you might want to check the writing on that bet... although i think we all know what 20 to 1 means.

i think those odds are ocmpletely insane.... i haven't actually looked at the odds, but i'd expect elliott to pay better to go home tonight than chris.

wish i had more confidence in betting with people i don't know as those odds are whacked.

[Jesse Kidd]

Hmm, I may be retarded...what did I misword? He's apparently not interested anyways. Bummer


Jesse

[smbruin22]

[ QUOTE ]
Hmm, I may be retarded...what did I misword? He's apparantly not interested anyways. Bummer


Jesse

[/ QUOTE ]

i think you had $4,200 going both ways when you worded the final sort of "make clear" statement... as i said, we all know what 20-1 means, but the guy would say "you said $4200 either direction".....

too bad you didn't get it as i'm sure you could have laid it off nicely at a sports book.

[smbruin22]

here's my potentially crazy idol idea.

after chris or kat go home tonight and then next week maybe another one again, do those votes go to taylor or to the remaining contestants?

my thought is that taylor might be peaking (although one heck of a ride)... anyone who wanted to vote for taylor probably has... whereas kat, chris and elliott all seem much better musically.

so i'm basically saying that i wonder whether taylor will pick up many votes in the future... of course, the people may just stop voting when their idol is eliminated.

and if idol producers actually care who wins, i would think they wouldn't want taylor winning.. personally i think his winning will be the start of the end.

as a complete aside, i thought kat was o.k. last night (actually very good on hound dog).. and i thought taylor's ghetto was awful. completely lacking any emotion ala the elvis original.

[Jesse Kidd]

Goat Boy!!

[jonnyjewels]

Shell Shock thats all I can, I missed last nights episode, and didnt watch the line movement today.

I like performity believed in exactly Kat, Chris, and Elliot, and I continued to pound Chris (ok that sounds bad) but you know what I mean. This is unbelievable, I guarentee Chris will outsell that weirdo Taylor 10-1 in record sales.

I really hope elliot wins this thing, but that may be wishful thinking.

**** AI right now.

The lines dropped immensly today, and the books adjusted all day. What a bad day to be at the Hospital all day.

Well lets go Mia/Pho ML parlay 1:1

[Performify]

Chris eliminated in a pretty decent surprise. Sorry bozeman.

Interesting to see what sort of heat the producers get for allowing Taylor to sing Jailhouse Rock to the request of RR tonight. Pretty seriously unfair.

I think Chris' voting will swing to Kat and Elliot - I doubt many of his votes swing to Taylor. We'll see.

Season record 4-5 elimination picks. +0.6262

[Nicholasp27]

[ QUOTE ]
Nice bet with the 2 males....but you have no clue if you think it will be goat boy and Taylor. Chris and Taylor maybe, since Chris D will win this. I had that bet in 2 months ago at Chris 7:1. Elliot and Taylor makes me laugh. Get a clue.

[/ QUOTE ]

potd

[m bozeman]

Yeah, that sucks I lost my hedge bet. Personally, I am happy Chris is gone. It seems like for whatever reason, Taylor will win. Performity, if I were you, I would try and throw Taylor in to your hedge, so you don't get screwed if (when) he wins.