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#292
07-22-2007, 07:31 PM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
Decision time;
12 team 6x6 OBA, SLG, R, RBI, HR, SB ERA, WHIP, W, K, HD, SV Hanley Ramirez- The shoulder popped back into place before the inning ended, and Ramirez might be back in the lineup as early as Tuesday at Arizona, manager Fredi Gonzalez said. "It's nothing alarming right now," Gonzalez said. "He did it last year a little bit." Carl Crawford- Lance Berkman-Astros 1B Lance Berkman (swollen left hand) didn't start any of the three games against the Pirates after sitting out Sunday, but could play Monday night against the Dodgers. Decision #1-I'd have to replace Ramirez with Weeks. The Brewers play seven games next week with two against left handed starters. I don't think Weeks will start more than four games next week, so if I can get some kind of confirmation that Ramirez will definitely play, I'd roll with him. Lineups don't lock until 6:35, so I should be able to get some more info. Decision #2/#3-I've got Chris Young, Adrian Beltre, and Dave Roberts along with Berkman and Crawford to fill two spots. I'm leaning towards Beltre/Young. Everybody from that group plays seven games except Crawford, so with the injury risk, I think it's best I leave him on the bench. Houston is at home for LA and SD, so benching Berkman wouln't be a terrible, especially if he doesn't play every day. The Mariners are at Texas and home for Oakland. I usually like to get my bats in there against Texas pitching. The D'Backs are at home for Florida (4) and Atlanta. Decision #4-My last pitcher spot. Escobar has a home game against Oakland. Marcum has two starts, one at home vs Johan Santan and one at Javier Vazquez. Betancourt plays seven games at home vs Boston and Minnesota. Villanueva is at Cincy and at St. Louis for seven games. He'd be my choice, due to his hold/win/K potential, but he's been getting shellacked lately. I need everything in pitching except WHIP. Thoughts? 
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#293
07-23-2007, 01:15 AM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
How much do we think BJ Upton is over-performing by? His BABIP is pretty sick high and his LD % doesn't indicate this is normal at all.
Can we expect a pretty big regression out of him?
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#294
07-23-2007, 02:54 AM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
[ QUOTE ]
How much do we think BJ Upton is over-performing by? His BABIP is pretty sick high and his LD % doesn't indicate this is normal at all. Can we expect a pretty big regression out of him? [/ QUOTE ] He should regress a ton, but that still leaves him as a complete stud. Think Hanley Ramirez last year. Rarely do I like to trade away high ceiling guys like Upton without getting a kings ransom.
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#295
07-23-2007, 09:36 AM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] How much do we think BJ Upton is over-performing by? His BABIP is pretty sick high and his LD % doesn't indicate this is normal at all. Can we expect a pretty big regression out of him? [/ QUOTE ] In a league that uses OBP SLG HR R SB do you think he is worth Garret Atkins? He should regress a ton, but that still leaves him as a complete stud. Think Hanley Ramirez last year. Rarely do I like to trade away high ceiling guys like Upton without getting a kings ransom. [/ QUOTE ]
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#296
07-23-2007, 11:42 AM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] How much do we think BJ Upton is over-performing by? His BABIP is pretty sick high and his LD % doesn't indicate this is normal at all. Can we expect a pretty big regression out of him? [/ QUOTE ] He should regress a ton, but that still leaves him as a complete stud. Think Hanley Ramirez last year. Rarely do I like to trade away high ceiling guys like Upton without getting a kings ransom. [/ QUOTE ] I think Upton really is a stud and both his strikeout and walk rates appear to be improving as the year goes on, but his babip has to be at least .100 points over what he can sustain, which brings me to my question: Can anyone point me in the direction of some good research on how much skill is involved for a hitter in accomplishing a good babip? And what kind of numbers can be sustainable? I see some good hitters who appear to be able to sustain numbers up around .350, but its something I'd like to learn more about.
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#297
07-23-2007, 12:22 PM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
I have a couple trades that I have been offered, that I want opinions on, and possible counteroffers, as I don't think I want either one as is. First, my roster:
C B. Molina 1B Todd Helton 2B BJ Upton 3B Chone Figgins SS Dustin Pedroia OF Maggs Corey Hart Willits Util David Ortiz BN M. Teahen Josh Barfield DL Josh Hamilton Miguel Tejada SP Sean Marshall Andrew Miller Zito Owings Dave Bush Gil Meche Gallardo Chris Young S. Mitre RP Izzy Wagner Alfonseca Linebrink Neshek DL Brett Myers Shawn Hill The first offer is Carmona for Figgins. His roster is: C Varitek 1B Adrian Gonzalez 2B Brandon Phillips 3B Casey Blake SS Jimmy Rollins OF C. Granderson C. Lee B. Abreu Util Thome BN Delgado D. Young V. Wells Brendan Harris DL Ian Kinsler SP Lackey Escobar Hudson Chien-Ming Wang Carmona Marquis RP Borowski Papelbon Cordero Todd Jones Dempster DL Burnett Henry Owens The other one is Wigginton and Beltran for Upton and C. Young. This one I think is pretty horrible, but there may be an opportunity here somewhere as I know he's itching for Young. His roster: C Pudge 1B P. Fielder 2B Aaron Hill 3B Garrett Atkins SS Hardy OF Vlad Billy Butler Torii Hunter Util Willy Taveras BN Ryan Howard Wigginton Beltran K. Matsui Brad Hawpe DL Blalock SP Brandon Webb Capuano Blanton Maine Bonderman RP Nathan Al Reyes Putz Gagne Saito Gary Glover This is a H2H league with daily transactions. We score R,HR,RBI,SB,K,F%,AVG,OPS offensively and W,L,SV,HR,K,ERA,WHIP,K/BB for pitching. Where can I get some value here?
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#299
07-23-2007, 06:25 PM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
Standard 13 team 5x5 Roto non-keeper league, except we count MTB (BB + total bases, not including HRs) rather than runs.
My team is Russ Martin Meat Hook Lowell Chone Figgins Utley Vidro O. Cabrera J. Dye Rowand R. Ibanez Torii Hunter J.D. Drew F. Gutierrez Griffey J. Beckett R. Hill B. Penny Verlander S. Mitre C. Marmol J. Soria B. Myers On reserve, I have B. Fuentes, Miguel Tejada, Daniel Cabrera, B.H. Kim What do we think about trading Griffey straight up for Oliver Perez and the sixth overall pick in our weekly free agent draft.
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#300
07-23-2007, 06:47 PM
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Re: ***Official July Fantasy Baseball Thread***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] How much do we think BJ Upton is over-performing by? His BABIP is pretty sick high and his LD % doesn't indicate this is normal at all. Can we expect a pretty big regression out of him? [/ QUOTE ] In a league that uses OBP SLG HR R SB do you think he is worth Garret Atkins? He should regress a ton, but that still leaves him as a complete stud. Think Hanley Ramirez last year. Rarely do I like to trade away high ceiling guys like Upton without getting a kings ransom. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] I'd go for Upton over Atkins. Hopefully you are starting Upton at second at not third.
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