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#21
09-11-2007, 04:00 PM
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Re: NL25 - easy fold??
He raises 4.5% of hands PF and likely rarely bluffs with an aggression factor of 1.6. Hes not 4betting AK or AQ. Unless you have a major read, hes got KK or AA and hes not folding.
You have to call $2.50 to win his $36(pot plus his stack). I would call the min 4-bet for set value and muck to his cbet. 
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#22
09-11-2007, 04:08 PM
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Re: NL25 - easy fold??
[ QUOTE ]
if we estimate that we get 75% of his stack every time we flop the set [/ QUOTE ] I like what you did here, but I want to point out I really think this only applies in 3 and 4-bet pots. If you are calling a single pf raise with a pair and hit your set, its not accurate to assume on average you will get 75% of the persons stack (unless of course its some aggro calling station). Back to the hand. I don't mind a fold to the 4-bet. It's a little unpredictable, but I doubt you are ahead here enough to make this +EV. As played, fold flop.
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