22RB, ITM, AA, Blind Battle vs Bakes

[registrar]

I really suck at saving sent PMs but as I said, it's our river line that I object to. I'm not advocating a fold once we check because I think a bluff or value bet is possible enough for us to call here. Zounds we have AA, check out that pot etc. etc.

However, given our range, I think checking to a induce a bluff, which would be a big mistake on villain's part IMO, is way less profitable than leading - even though that line looks kind of dumb. I mean, we're just not folding much of our range at this stage on a blank river so expecting villain to expect us to fold to his bluff, and then expecting villain to bluff, seems too hopeful.

[Bakes]

I'm still kinda thinking about this hand but its really hard to comment on yourself! Anyway I think one thing should be fairly obvious, and thats that I don't have TT+. I had already 3bet OP twice and he folded to both, probably pertinent information for this particular hand.

[NoahSD]

Me(7:48:31 PM): i think he can prob fold the river
Me(7:48:37 PM): i don't expect him to c/f the flop
Me(7:48:44 PM): so if i'm you i'm not bluffing air there
Me(7:48:57 PM): so that really limits your river bluffing hands

[registrar]

[ QUOTE ]
Me(7:48:31 PM): i think he can prob fold the river


[/ QUOTE ]

Fold to any bet? Or because it's a push?

[hamnegger]

this is close bc there is conflicting evidence:

1. flat call preflop: vey consistent w kq kj k10 k9 k8

2. lead bet: a sophisticated player will lead w a big hand not check .

3. evidence that he does not have it is that he's already run this player over a few times 3 bettting. the big bet on the end could be a confident player who knows his opponent doesn't have the balls to call w out the king. its great poker either way! nh bakes what was the outcome?

[FGators]

I think this is fine if you call because of the relationship between hero and villain here.

Oh and don't check raise all in on the turn like betgo mentioned...it like never gets called by worse.