#21
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Re: NL50 AA faces heat on turn
He is certainly representing a set and his preflop play make 66 or 99 possible. The post flop play makes it likely.
Since there aren't any obvious draws on the flop the c/c makes sense. You represent a made hand when you bet so now he thinks he can stack you. The small bet on the turn is just asking for a raise. If I were to guess I would say 75% he has 66 or 99, the other 25% 9Td or KQ The 3:1 pot odds don't make this an easy decision. I'd fold and hate myself. |
#22
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Re: NL50 AA faces heat on turn
Small (compared to pot size) donk bets mean one of two things
1. I have a draw / my draw just improved as I picked up outs, please let me draw cheaply. 2. I have a monster, please raise my weak looking bet so I can hit you with a 3 bet. Since he 3 bet I would probably fold this. It does seem close though. He could have JTd (would make sense), A9d. However his 3 bet really does leave me to belive he has a hand like a set here, but with his pfr I think he raises 99 in the small blind after one limper, but may just complete 66. Close but I prob fold. You'll also see 77 here if he likes to float pps. |
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