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  #21  
Old 07-30-2007, 07:54 PM
mandular mandular is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 7
Default Re: NL50 AA faces heat on turn

He is certainly representing a set and his preflop play make 66 or 99 possible. The post flop play makes it likely.

Since there aren't any obvious draws on the flop the c/c makes sense. You represent a made hand when you bet so now he thinks he can stack you. The small bet on the turn is just asking for a raise.

If I were to guess I would say 75% he has 66 or 99, the other 25% 9Td or KQ The 3:1 pot odds don't make this an easy decision. I'd fold and hate myself.
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  #22  
Old 07-30-2007, 08:30 PM
robinmbuk robinmbuk is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 445
Default Re: NL50 AA faces heat on turn

Small (compared to pot size) donk bets mean one of two things

1. I have a draw / my draw just improved as I picked up outs, please let me draw cheaply.

2. I have a monster, please raise my weak looking bet so I can hit you with a 3 bet.

Since he 3 bet I would probably fold this. It does seem close though. He could have JTd (would make sense), A9d. However his 3 bet really does leave me to belive he has a hand like a set here, but with his pfr I think he raises 99 in the small blind after one limper, but may just complete 66.

Close but I prob fold. You'll also see 77 here if he likes to float pps.
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