200NL - induced a bluff, now I have to call it?

[aislephive]

[ QUOTE ]
i think that it is more likely that he is bluffing now than that he checked behind on the turn w/a set. i also think that given our weak line, the villain makes this play w/much more than AK or better. i will admit that it is probably a marginal call but i don't think it is nearly as out of line as some have suggested.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok .. we get it, you think he is bluffing.

[Mossberg]

Why does everyone want to bet the turn?

[tarheeljks]

more to the point, i think too many people here are too nitty

[HiBaCHi]

tarhelljks,

you said you think he is bluffing w/ a "j, weaker A, or a pp." as far as the first 2 those are winning showdowns such a high % of the time i think it's crazy to think he'd turn it into such a large overbet bluff shove. the third is viable but not many players have the combo capability of calling pf, calling flop, and most importantly turning it into such a large overbet shove on the river. i agree that we look weak but if he's trying to get us off of air he isn't gonna be betting 1.5x pot.

[TheMadHeater]

If he's holding Ax he probably thinks he's good and checks. Even a J likely checks behind feeling like he can win, since your line looks like a light 3-bet that has been given up on. And people do frequently make overbet shoves for value.

[tarheeljks]

but do you think an overbet shove is more likely to be a value bet than a bluff (or what amounts to one here)?

[Mossberg]

omg lol can we talk about the turn now plz.

[Casper05]

I'd bet the turn some because it is a card I almost always double barell on, but against this guy it doesn't really matter so the check is fine. I would bet the river though.

What are you doing if he pots the turn?

[Mossberg]

calling.

[tarheeljks]

[ QUOTE ]
omg lol can we talk about the turn now plz.

[/ QUOTE ]

bet the turn; what else is there to say about it? if you had bet the turn we probably wouldn't be having this discussion.