JJ - Top Set Raised on the River - Page 3

SixForty · #1 10-16-2006, 04:36 PM

Normally this hand wouldn't even phase me. But this raise, at this time, from this opponent - it just made me stop and think.

Live 10/20, 10-handed - very-loose/moderately passive game, lots of people seeing lots of flops (during my 2.5 hours or so at the table so far, we've had maybe 5 or 6 hands where all 10 players saw the flop), but not too many preflop raises, some bouts of aggression postflop, but only from a couple of players, everyone else is a calling station.

Reads:
SB - unknown, only her second hand at the table
BB - horribly weak loose/passive, will call preflop with any two suited and any two 3-gappers, even if he has to call 3 bets cold to do it, loves to chase
UTG - loose/semi-aggressive, plays any pocket pair very strong (will isolation 3-bet an UTG raiser when he has pocket 22, that sort of thing) and likes to checkraise any pair on the flop
UTG+1 - semi-loose/passive, will bet most made hands on the flop, but goes into check and call mode on the big streets with anything less than the nuts
MP1 - unknown, only been at the table for about 1.5 orbits, nothing of note on him
CO - semi-tight/aggressive, he's a very good player. I play against him on average 2 or 3 times a week. We know each other very well. I'd say that he's tight/aggressive, except for the fact that he properly loosens up his hand range for this type of game. He knows how to play against these types of players, and his aggression is always warranted (strong hands, strong draws, protection in large pots, free cards, or a spot where a bluff has a strong enough chance of working). He rarely gets much out of line. I'd say that he and I know each other's playing style very well. He's definitely a consistent long term winner in this game, and I'd say one of the higher winners.
Button - very-loose/passive, likes to play most hands (over 50%) to at least see the turn with them, even for multiple bets often, and will see the river with probably about 25% of his total hands

I know people are going to laugh and say it's a simple decision, but . . .

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 folds, Hero raises, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (8 players, 16 SB)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls

Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 players, 11 BB)
SB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets, CO calls, SB calls, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds

River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players, 15 BB)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, CO raises, SB folds, UTG+1 folds, Hero . . . ?

Should I even hesitate to 3-bet it? I'd love to hear what kind of hand range people would give the CO here.