Daliman's Nfl Wong Teasers-Week 2

[Daliman]

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Non-wonged teaser bets are inherently -EV

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you positive that teasing small dogs is better then teasing 6-6.5 point favs?

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6-6.5 point faves are not wongable.

[gila]

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Non-wonged teaser bets are inherently -EV

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you positive that teasing small dogs is better then teasing 6-6.5 point favs?

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The key to the Wong/tease, is to get off the 7 and 3 because those are the most likely numbers to push (I believe 15-16%). So, basically, your looking for 1.5-2.5 pt dogs and teasing them to 7.5-8.5, or 7.5-8.5 favs and teasing them down to 1.5, 2.5. Thus, you avoid the common pitfalls of the 7 and 3, instead winning both.

[Mr_J]

Enjoy the +100 while you can.

[Bishop22]

Jax +1.5 for the re-wongers. I threw out GB as well, I hate going against a system because it never works out for me but couldn't pull the trigger.

[sfwusc]

The thing is you are assuming it is a good line. I didnt take the packers b/c I think the line is bad. It might be EV+ if the line is wrong by more than 6 points which I think it might be. I just am not sure enough of it to take it. I am not going to take packers with it moved 6 points in their favor.

-SFWUSC

[Daliman]

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Jax +1.5 for the re-wongers. I threw out GB as well, I hate going against a system because it never works out for me but couldn't pull the trigger.

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TY for the heads up, got Jax +7.5 total in with the other 4 in 2 and 4 teamers. Lotta $$$ in play this week. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[chaz64]

Daliman,

Thanks for the tip on Mansion offering the two-teamers at even money. I did Cards/Jags last week which won. I just did all three of the NFC North teams for this week.

For those who can't stand including the Pack, they started 0-4 last year before winning their first game, a blow out against the Saints. Also, teams that are coming off a shut out have done very well ATS in the past. Lastly, GB was stomped by Baltimore late last year; the next week they were a +6.5 point dog, and lost by 7. Just some food for thought.

[ImBen]

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Enjoy the +100 while you can.

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Right, because all three of the top books that have +100 are just going to increase the juice all of a sudden.

[sublime]

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Enjoy the +100 while you can.

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Right, because all three of the top books that have +100 are just going to increase the juice all of a sudden.

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it wouldn't be all of a sudden as there is definitely a trend in that direction.

also, 5dimes doesn't offer a 'true' +100 as they offer different lines on teasers.

mansion will boot (from teasers) anyone who bets basic strategy teasers only.

[dankhank]

on the other hand, a new book betmania offered +100 as presumably a way to attract some new customers. if it's true that wong teasers are just over breakeven since 2000, i can see books using +100 as a marketing tool for the short term future.