Another Mansion free bet

[Levarkin]

But free bet, so no juice on the other side, no?

[brendanb438]

Thremp with how the movie betting has been treating us lately I say a free $460 is +EV. Sure we could win $1000 but I like free money.

-Brendan

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
But free bet, so no juice on the other side, no?

[/ QUOTE ]

No juice would be a 100/100 line on a 50/50 ocurrence.

[TheRover]

afasfhasklfashdkljf

I WANT TO SEX YOU MANSION

also anyone hedging is a massive vagina

[Thremp]

I probably won't hedge this either.

[bb88]

Ok one last question. Since I haven't signed up for any sportsbooks, what would be the best way to increase my EV by hedging at a sportsbook with a bonus?

Rover, I'd love to gamble for $1000, but I think Miami is going to win the spread, so I think I'm losing really minimal EV here.

[Ortho]

[ QUOTE ]
afasfhasklfashdkljf

I WANT TO SEX YOU MANSION

also anyone hedging is a massive vagina

[/ QUOTE ]

Anyone making a statement like this without knowing the size of would-be hedger's bankroll and how much it costs to hedge does not understand risk.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Thremp with how the movie betting has been treating us lately I say a free $460 is +EV. Sure we could win $1000 but I like free money.

-Brendan

[/ QUOTE ]

The only thing I can cap is WSOP bleh. How pathetic.

[Levarkin]

Okay, so if Pit is 50%, the Mansion bet EV is $500, and hedging is clearly -EV. But if Pit is 45% and Miami 55%, then the EV of the Mansion bet is $450, and the EV of a $550 hedge bet at -110 is +$27.5. So how is it not EV to hedge here?

Edit: Logically I think I'm wrong here, but I can't prove it mathematically.

[ImsaKidd]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
afasfhasklfashdkljf

I WANT TO SEX YOU MANSION

also anyone hedging is a massive vagina

[/ QUOTE ]

Anyone making a statement like this without knowing the size of would-be hedger's bankroll and how much it costs to hedge does not understand risk.

[/ QUOTE ]

If your BR is that small, then, uh, deposit from your bank or something. I guess if the guarantee means that much to you, go for it. I will be GAMBOOLING this bonus up, go steelers!