QQ vs. tighty - Page 3

younghov17 · #21 07-16-2006, 09:44 PM

i fold ak to a reraise 85% of the time, the other 15% im rereraising it.

19/6s usually fold it too, and they certainly fold it on the flop when they have bad odds to chase a flush.

including aq here for a 19/6 boggles my mind.
look at it this way, pot is 32. your putting your remainign 35 in to win 67(32+ his 35). you need to win 33% or more to show a profit.

say he has aa/kk/tt 70% of the time, nut flush draw 15% of the time, and jj 15% of the time. you win 5% v aa/kk/tt, 70% v as ks, 95% v jj

(.70 x .05) + (.15 x .70) + (.15 x .95) = 28%

i think 70% for aa/kk/tt after the flop call is pretty conservative and will actually be higher in most cases

younghov17 · #22 07-16-2006, 09:46 PM

and like kongo said, u fire again hes certainly only calling 90% of the time when your crushed. terrible reverse implied odds.

jkkkk · #23 07-16-2006, 09:51 PM

this hand has nothing to do with reverse implied odds and everything to do with going all in

Jamougha · #24 07-16-2006, 09:55 PM

This thread is hurting my brain. He will 4-bet AA/KK a lot preflop because it's 50NL and people don't get that tricky, probably more than 3/4 of the time. Then when he calls with those two hands he will usually raise the flop, especially with AA. Because of this the likelyihood of him having AA/KK combined is lower than of him having JJ by minimum a factor of 2. TT is possible, as are the nfds, and AQs is certainly in his range. Hero is ahead >50% of the time on the turn here.

younghov17 · #25 07-16-2006, 10:00 PM

well we can agree to disagree here

kongo_totte · #26 07-16-2006, 10:10 PM

Ok,

I checked the turn, with the intention of puking to a bet.

He checked behind, river is 2h. Hero.....?

younghov17 · #27 07-16-2006, 10:11 PM

i check again, call a bet 15 or less

Jamougha · #28 07-16-2006, 10:14 PM

Open push or crai.

goofyballer · #29 07-16-2006, 10:16 PM

I like check-call. High spade draws might bluff when they obviously won't call a bet, you lose the least to a TT slowplaying turn (maybe hoping you had high spades and you would hit on river), JJ might value bet thinking he has the best hand.

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Open push or crai.

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Jam, what hands besides JJ might villain have that pays off a C/R AI that hero beats?

Jamougha · #30 07-16-2006, 10:20 PM

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Jam, what hands besides JJ might villain have that pays off a C/R AI that hero beats?

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Nothing. If he bets the river he has JJ a huge % of the time.