Nl200, 99 vs LAG deep

[lassie]

[ QUOTE ]
if we are gonna see a draw 8/10 times

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Thats my guess, but I posted this hand to hear some other opinions.

[lassie]

Well, actually I got a comment more on my reraise to 110.

Villain is as I mentioned getting something like 3:1 when I reraise to 110, but he only completes his draw (if he got for example AQh, AJh) 25% on the turn, so I actually dont understand why my reraise is so critical.

[lassie]

Any comments?

[tmacs1]

Absolutely nothing is a bit of an exaggeration. Many players would check raise with AK and combo draws like AQs. Two pair is also possible A10 etc. I don't see how you can fold in this spot. If villain turns over 1010, or KK, that's poker. most of the time he won't, and thats what is important.

[tmacs1]

Lassie, do you have any reads on opponents starting requirements?? does he open with SCs etc??

[tmacs1]

creedofhubris, why would you want to commit yourself to a pot you might easily lose?? what if you make a large raise and turn comes Js?? wtf now?? By your reasoning we have to call and we're probably drawing slim.

[tmacs1]

I agree, pushing is too much. But I would 3 bet bigger.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
creedofhubris, why would you want to commit yourself to a pot you might easily lose?? what if you make a large raise and turn comes Js?? wtf now?? By your reasoning we have to call and we're probably drawing slim.

[/ QUOTE ]

How are we drawing slim [censored]?

[tmacs1]

If turn is jack spades, if he was drawing we're beat, and if he had 1010 KK we're dead. Thats what I mean

[lassie]

How much do you guys suggest I three-bet on this flop? To like a 150 or?

tmacs1, I really dont see villain checking any made hand on this flop, because we could easily take a free card and outdraw him. Lots of cards on the turn could make his hand really ugly or kill his action.

By the way, the villain is as mentioned pretty solid.