Colts moneyline question

[playersare]

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DAL+1 is my biggest bet of the year.

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How often does the one point come into play that you should take this instead of the moneyline?

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the +/- 1 pushes against the spread about 2% of the time (specifically on that team which gets or receives the point). colts have won two games by exactly 1 this year, but they were actually big favorites in each case.

if there was a PK -105 on the cowboys available at the time, then +1 -110 would probably be paying too much since the "half point" between PK and 1 would only be worth 2c (books generally do not assign any value to the +/- 1/2 because of the extreme improbability of an NFL tie). in comparison to a PK -107, it's closer to a tossup. and of course if you're getting a 'free' full point off consensus, it'd be silly not to take it.

[Jeff W]

I think Indy is definitely the underdog in this game, I'd avoid them like the plague. I liked the line at +1.5 Cowboys and was thinking it might move even further in the Cowboys favor, but unfortunately the line moved the wrong way.