#21
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] +3 -115 is available at bookmaker and bodog [/ QUOTE ] Yep, but that's -115. I'm looking for a better price on +3, and I suspect it is likely enough to be available tomorrow to be worth waiting for. If I were betting it now I would take the -115 and get onto the 3 before I bet +2.5 +104. [/ QUOTE ] Just bet it a +3 -105 at Bodog. |
#22
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
yea i remember how the cardinals responded to a death last season, and if memphis is even half as affected, marshall +3 is the play. i can definitely seem some barely division 1-A athletes not getting up for this game, even if it is on television and important for their school. i almost bet this last night, and am sorta surprised to see the number move.
on the other hand, maybe it is weak analysis to be like "death --> remember st. louis --> omgz betting!" |
#23
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
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For going to Tunica you can just take the interstate the whole way there now because of the new I-69 connector from I-55 straight to the casinos. And it's not like the old way taking Hwy 61 is the most dangerous section to go through but the way things are in Memphis these days even the moderately not-THAT-bad places probably shouldn't be trusted. [/ QUOTE ] yep...even though it's a few more miles, I just hook south on 1-55 to the new i-69 61 just south of i-55 is not the best neighborhood now, if I-55 didn't have those crappy interchanges just east of the river, I'd be in heaven anyway, I'm not betting this game. Just too much BS around it. I bet enough games |
#24
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
It looks like I missed my chance at -105 by sleeping, but -110 is good enough.
My first OGOTD pick of the year is officially: Marshall +3 Also, with the total down to 59, I'm starting to lean lightly toward the over, but I still don't think there's quite enough EV there to make it a worthwhile pick yet. If it drops to 58 before kickoff I'll take the over though. 58.5 probably still won't be quite enough. |
#25
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
Hmmmm, was at +3 -105 earlier today, then went to -115, now back to to -105. I have no idea what's going on.
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#26
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
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[ QUOTE ] I hadn't heard about this. Geez Memphis is freaking dangerous these days. So glad I'm not there anymore. [/ QUOTE ] Recent FBI statistics released just last week named the Memphis metropolitan area as the number 1 most violent for crime in America. Last year Memphis was number 2. Anyone driving through there on the way to Tunica should be very careful and hope your car doesn't break down. [/ QUOTE ] This is either incorrect or mis-stated. I lived in downtown Memphis for 5 years and never had a problem. People always assume Memphis is more dangerous than it is b/c of the demographics. Anyway, I won't hijack any further. As far as the game, my gut tells me to take Marshall in this one as they have had 10 days to prepare for this one as opposed to Memphis who had 4, 1 of which was obviously not very productive. The only thing I would note about the emotional impact of the game is that it has to be a little weird for Marshall to come in all fired up and ready to fight. Memphis can show up and be mad at the world whereas Marshall's guys kind of have to be respectful. Decent chance they could come out flat. |
#27
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] +3 -115 is available at bookmaker and bodog [/ QUOTE ] Yep, but that's -115. I'm looking for a better price on +3, and I suspect it is likely enough to be available tomorrow to be worth waiting for. If I were betting it now I would take the -115 and get onto the 3 before I bet +2.5 +104. [/ QUOTE ] Just bet it a +3 -105 at Bodog. [/ QUOTE ] |
#28
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
So who all is going to be around here during the game, and what bets are everyone on?
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#29
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
Ill be around. Im still debating what to take. Ill prolly end up marshall +3.
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#30
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Re: ^^^Tue NCAAF--Memphis -2.5 v Marshall O/U 60.5^^^
Marshall ML (+115) 1 Unit (x-posted from early thread)
Marshall ML (+130) 1 Unit Marshall/Memphis Over 59 1 Unit |
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