#21
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
[ QUOTE ]
Hmm, just checked Sagarin and App State was 53rd last season. Don't know what they have coming back or anything, but that's very interesting. Does this change your opinion MTR? (Yeah, I understand it shouldn't be challenging and they are still just a paycheck. But 53rd is pretty respectable for a paycheck.) [/ QUOTE ] nope...flaw in the statistical method as they don't have a sample size to compare them to A level teams. They played one power division team and lost 23-10 at NC State. This team is worse than the bottom of the Big10 as a challenge to the Wolverines. Remember, Iowa took on lower power Montana at the start of last year and beat them 41-7 IIRC. I expect the same thing out of this game. |
#22
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
[ QUOTE ]
nope...flaw in the statistical method as they don't have a sample size to compare them to A level teams. They played one power division team and lost 23-10 at NC State. This team is worse than the bottom of the Big10 as a challenge to the Wolverines. Remember, Iowa took on lower power Montana at the start of last year and beat them 41-7 IIRC. I expect the same thing out of this game. [/ QUOTE ] All of what MT2R said is correct. App. State is the best of the best of the FCS (big follower of FCS football here) teams right now. They have won the last 2 National Championships at that level. But they don't belong on the same field as Michigan or any other top FBS program. Would App State stand a fair chance against Eastern Michigan or someother bottom level MAC or Sunbelt team? Definitely. But not against the top I-A teams in the country. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the Mountaineers keep it close for the 1st half, but this game will wind up being a blowout in the end. |
#23
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Hmm, just checked Sagarin and App State was 53rd last season. Don't know what they have coming back or anything, but that's very interesting. Does this change your opinion MTR? (Yeah, I understand it shouldn't be challenging and they are still just a paycheck. But 53rd is pretty respectable for a paycheck.) [/ QUOTE ] nope...flaw in the statistical method as they don't have a sample size to compare them to A level teams. They played one power division team and lost 23-10 at NC State. This team is worse than the bottom of the Big10 as a challenge to the Wolverines. Remember, Iowa took on lower power Montana at the start of last year and beat them 41-7 IIRC. I expect the same thing out of this game. [/ QUOTE ] Ah ok, good to know about the flawed methodology. I know you're a big believer in Sagarin in general, so good to hear. And hopefully you're right about the result, although memories of Ball State are still fresh in my head. Go for the jugular Lloyd, please. |
#24
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
Being a Vol and living in Arizona means I never see my team live ... unless they travel to a place like Berkeley.
Tennessee @ Cal - Sept. 1st Also, Tennessee @ Florida will be huge nationally. Winner will probably win the SEC East. UGA @ Tennessee LSU @ Alabama Tennessee @ Alabama USC @ Cal for the Pac 10 |
#25
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
Auburn released their schedule:
DATE OPPONENT Sept. 1 KANSAS STATE Sept. 8 SOUTH FLORIDA Sept. 15 MISSISSIPPI STATE Sept. 22 NEW MEXICO STATE Sept. 29 at Florida Oct. 6 VANDERBILT Oct. 13 at Arkansas Oct. 20 at LSU Oct. 27 OLE MISS Nov. 3 TENNESSEE TECH Nov. 10 at Georgia Nov. 24 ALABAMA The hype for the Bama game will be out of control. Saban coming to town for his first Iron Bowl and Auburn going for 6 in a row. |
#26
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
Michigan's schedule
Sat., Sep. 1 Appalachian State Sat., Sep. 8 Oregon Sat., Sep. 15 Notre Dame Sat., Sep. 22 Penn State Sat., Sep. 29 At Northwestern Sat., Oct. 6 Eastern Michigan Sat., Oct. 13 Purdue Sat., Oct. 20 At Illinois Sat., Oct. 27 Minnesota Sat., Nov. 3 At Michigan State Sat., Nov. 10 At Wisconsin Sat., Nov. 17 Ohio State 8 home games. Two sort of marquee opponents. ND will be away down this year: I expect 7-5 or so given all that they lose. OSU will be down, so I'm pretty confident we beat them (finally). The game at Wisconsin is by far the scariest. Fortunately we have always matched up well against their teams/style of play. A little concerned about MSU and PSU. MSU because I came of age in the 90's when we lost 3 times in East Lansing (and again in 2001 when I went to the game), although obviously they shouldn't be very good. PSU because Morelli might actually come around and be decent. Not that they should beat us, but if he improves to anywhere near what his potential is/was, they could give us a fight. All in all, very good home schedule, both for the team and far fans (nice way to go out as a college student). Also love the away schedule, as all 4 games are makeable. I am going to make an effort to go to every one. Champaign is the only one that is up in the air, being far away and not having friends there. Hopefully they make this a special year in my (and probably Lloyd's) last year. |
#27
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
Eh, I figure I'll post Rutgers too while were doing this:
Thu Aug. 30 Buffalo Fri Sept. 7 Navy (ESPN 7:00) Sat Sept. 15 Norfolk State Sat Sept. 29 Maryland Sat Oct. 6 Cincinnati Sat Oct. 13 @ Syracuse Thu Oct. 18 South Florida(ESPN 7:30) Sat Oct. 27 West Virginia Sat Oct. 3 @ UCONN Fri Nov. 9 @ Army(ESPN2 8:00) Sat Nov. 17 Pittsburgh Thu Nov. 29 @ Louisville(ESPN 7:30) First 6 games are home with a 1AA and Buffalo. I'm very glad they kept the Navy game as it has turned into a semi-rivalry. Maryland is the only OOC BCS team Rutgers will play. Army appears on the Rutgers schedule again after not being on it last year. It's your typical SUNJ schedule. It's a very possible 9 wins for Rutgers, hopefully 10. I see Rutgers with a possibilty of being 8-0 before WVU comes into Jersey, I don't see RU beating WVU this year. They will then have to split with Pitt/UL to have a "successful" season. I say that with quotes because honestly, any season that ends above .500 is successful for the time being. Bowl bids are all the school needs right now. I'm ecstatic to see 4 national TV games even if 2 are Buffalo and Army. |
#28
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
I don't think Bama will come out of their brutal schedule in good shape. Fortunately they UT, LSU & UGA at home.
Overall vs LSU vs UGA vs UT neutral vs FSU @ Auburn That's tough. @ Vandy & vs Arky are always interesting too. |
#29
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
Guys, how good is LSU going to be this year? I don't have a great idea. It's going to matter so much.
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#30
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Re: Offseason College Football Thread
[ QUOTE ]
Thu Aug. 30 Buffalo Fri Sept. 7 Navy (ESPN 7:00) Sat Sept. 15 Norfolk State Sat Sept. 29 Maryland Sat Oct. 6 Cincinnati Sat Oct. 13 @ Syracuse Thu Oct. 18 South Florida(ESPN 7:30) Sat Oct. 27 West Virginia Sat Oct. 3 @ UCONN Fri Nov. 9 @ Army(ESPN2 8:00) Sat Nov. 17 Pittsburgh Thu Nov. 29 @ Louisville(ESPN 7:30) [/ QUOTE ] It's too bad the WVU game isn't on national television. Both teams could very well be 7-0 when that game happens with 3 common opponents between them (Maryland, Syracuse and USF). Not too different from last year, right? Maryland instead of UNC is an improvement...but Army instead of Illinois is a step down. Making this OOC schedule for 2007 pretty much a wash with the 2006 schedule. Also, hopefully this is that last of these MEAC teams (Howard last year and Norfolk State in 2007). Scheduling 1 FCS team is fine but at least get one from a good FCS conference like the CAA or SoCon or Gateway... Anyway, it is really good to see this program continue to move in the right direction. You have any info on 2008 and beyond OOC schedules for Rutgers? I know in 2010 Rutgers starts a 7 game series with Notre Dame. But I'm hoping that the OOC schedule improves before then... Edit: Nevermind. Found it. Link. 2008: @Navy, UNC, Buffalo, Army 2009: Navy, Buffalo, @Maryland, @Army 2010: UNC, @ Navy, Army, @ Notre Dame 2011: @ UNC, Navy, @ Notre Dame, @ Army 2012: Notre Dame, Army 2010 might actually be pretty tough OOC depending on who the 5th opponent that they add will be and assuming Butch Davis has UNC respectable by then. |
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