#21
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
<font color="red">Updated win/loss figures going into 2007NFL season </font>
Shows win rate for 6 point teasers on 7.5 to 8.5 point favorites and 1.5 to 2.5 point dogs curtosy of ElRitmoEnElCaos [ QUOTE ] Since 1985: WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE ----------------------------- 75.37 268 HOME DOG 74.85 336 AWAY DOG 72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE 66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE Since 2000: WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE ----------------------------- 76.29 116 AWAY DOG 73.68 76 HOME DOG 71.74 92 HOME FAVORITE 62.07 29 AWAY FAVORITE [/ QUOTE ] |
#22
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
Maybe my reading comprehension is off, but is it fair to say that teasing +3/-120 (or in the case of Minnesota at Bodog currently, +3/-130) may be +EV, even if not a Wong? Especially when that team is, say, +2 at regular juice on most other sites?
ETA: Never mind, I just read the chatter thread. |
#23
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
[ QUOTE ]
Maybe my reading comprehension is off, but is it fair to say that teasing +3/-120 (or in the case of Minnesota at Bodog currently, +3/-130) may be +EV, even if not a Wong? Especially when that team is, say, +2 at regular juice on most other sites? ETA: Never mind, I just read the chatter thread. [/ QUOTE ] Use Pinny/Matchbook to find the "true" line. |
#24
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
There is 1 thing I don't understand about the R/R:
Why do we bet only bet 2 team teasers and 4 team teasers? According to SSB, if you can get 3 teamers at +180 they are good bets. |
#25
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
R/Ring would include betting all 3 teamers as well
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#26
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
[ QUOTE ]
R/Ring would include betting all 3 teamers as well [/ QUOTE ] I tried to edit my post, but was too late: Edit: wait, the example used a 4 teamer, so that is the only reason right? So technically if 4 teams were wongable we would have (4) 3 team teasers in addition to the (6) 2 teamers, and (1) 4-teamer? That would tease every possible combination. What bet amount is ideal at each teaser level? 5% for 2 teamers 3%? for 3 teamers 2% for 4 teamers 1%? for 5 teamers |
#27
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
Read the linked post by TomCowley.
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#28
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
[ QUOTE ]
Since 1985: WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE ----------------------------- 75.37 268 HOME DOG 74.85 336 AWAY DOG 72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE 66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE [/ QUOTE ] Anyone know if there is a correlation between WIN_PCT and the o/u for Wong-able games? |
#29
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
One of the things I'm going to look at once I put my database of score archives together. I would logically expect there to be one, but I have no idea how big it is.
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#30
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Re: Daliman WONG Teaser FAQ
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Since 1985: WIN_PCT COUNT TYPE ----------------------------- 75.37 268 HOME DOG 74.85 336 AWAY DOG 72.34 291 HOME FAVORITE 66.67 93 AWAY FAVORITE [/ QUOTE ] Anyone know if there is a correlation between WIN_PCT and the o/u for Wong-able games? [/ QUOTE ] i know there is a big difference in college...lower totals have higher win_pct...don't know what you are asking though |
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