#21
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
I'm going to do this a bit differently focusing on the BCS rankings because at this point that is the main thing that most people care about.
1. Missouri (B12) 2. West Virginia (Big East) 3. Georgia (SEC) 4. Virginia Tech (ACC) 5. USC (P10) 6. Ohio State (B10) 7. Oklahoma (B12) 8. Florida (SEC) *. LSU (SEC) 9. BC (ACC) *. Tenn (SEC) *. Kansas (B12) 10. Hawaii (WAC) 11. Arizona St (P10) 12. Illinois (B10) *. Texas (B12) *. Oregon (P10) *. Virginia (ACC) 13. Clemson (ACC) *. Wisconsin (Big Ten) Last week: 1. LSU (SEC) 2. Kansas (B12) 3. West Virginia (Big East) 4. Missouri (B12) 5. Ohio State (B10) 6. Arizona St (P10) 7. Georgia (SEC) 8. Virginia Tech (ACC) 9. Oregon (P10) *. Oklahoma (B12) *. USC (P10) *. Florida (SEC) *. Texas (B12) 10. BC (ACC) 11. Hawaii (WAC) *. Virginia (ACC) 12. Illinois (B10) *. Tenn (SEC) 13. Boise St (WAC) 14. Conn (Big East) |
#22
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
[ QUOTE ]
Horrid losses happen all the time. Off the top of my head, 04-05 UNC, one of the more heralded teams to win it all this decade, lost to Santa Clara by 11. I'm not going to dig up tons of examples, but the fact is that USC is going to win arguably the toughest conference in the country this year, they had huge injury issues, and they'd likely be no more than slight dogs against anyone right now and prob favored against most. [/ QUOTE ] As far as Sagarin's Strength of schedule (if I am reading it right) Florida = 5 Georgia = 22 LSU = 26 USC= 33 Mizz = 34 WV = 35 UCLA (4), Cal (2) and Oregon (7) all have brutal SOS rankings, but USC does not. So while USC does sit in a tough conference, they are a 2-loss team with no worse schedule than some of the teams people are arguing they should be ahead of. |
#23
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
[ QUOTE ]
Fact is that on a neutral field right now, USC is I'm guessing no bigger than a 3pt dog to anyone and favorites against most, including the two top teams right now. [/ QUOTE ] Favored over the top two? So would Ohio State, Georgia, LSU, Oklahoma, Florida and probably VTech. I think USC would be a dog to all of those teams (except VTech), although probably not by more than 3. That obviously doesn't make them the best team in the country. |
#24
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
I think USC and Oklahoma are getting nowhere near enough love right now. Those two would be favored over anyone in the country and both have better resumes than LSU. Here's my Top 25:
1. Missouri 2. West Virginia 3. Ohio State 4. USC 5. Oklahoma 6. Kansas 7. LSU 8. Georgia 9. Florida 10. Virginia Tech (where do people get off putting them in the Top 5? They're 0-2 vs. the Top 20 this year) 11. Arizona State 12. Boston College 13. Tennesee 14. South Florida 15. Illinois 16. Hawaii 17. Cincinnati 18. Auburn 19. Oregon 20. Arkansas 21. Texas 22. Texas Tech 23. BYU 24. Wisconsin 25. Clemson |
#25
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
Coaches Poll:
1. West Virgina (37 1st place, 1467 points) 2. Missouri (17, 1454) 3. Ohio State (6, 1383) 4. Georgia (1232) 5. VTech (1161) 5. Kansas (1161) 7. LSU (1134) 8. OU (1126) WVU had more 1st place votes, but also more votes at 3rd or lower (compared to Missouri). OSU got 6 first place votes (as opposed to none in the AP), with everyone else pretty much putting them in 3rd. Georgia's a distant 4th with the next four all getting within 35 points of the same total. Sagarin has his rankings as: (1) Missouri (2) West Virginia (3) Kansas (4) Virginia Tech (5) Ohio State (6) Georgia (7) Boston College (8) LSU (9) Florida (10) USC Of course, the "real" Sagarin rankings (which don't just use W/L, have Oklahoma #1. :-) One more note is that Oklahoma gains nothing in the computer rankings if they beat Missouri. They've already beaten them, so just using W/L, it doesn't help OU at all. Not that they have a chance to win the NC, but still a flaw in the system (as someone else noted earlier in the year). |
#26
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
Here are the Sagarin SOS numbers with record vs. top 30 in parenthesis
LSU 26 (3-2) Georgia 22 (3-1) USC 33 (2-1) ASU 27 (1-2) Oklahoma 67 (2-0) VT 45 (1-2) BC 41 (2-0) |
#27
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
[ QUOTE ]
One more note is that Oklahoma gains nothing in the computer rankings if they beat Missouri. They've already beaten them, so just using W/L, it doesn't help OU at all. Not that they have a chance to win the NC, but still a flaw in the system (as someone else noted earlier in the year). [/ QUOTE ] I doubt this is anywhere near as clear-cut as you think it is. The different computer rankings all use different formulas, most of which are kept private. I'm sure it won't help them as much as if they beat Kansas, but it should still be a sizable boost. |
#28
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] One more note is that Oklahoma gains nothing in the computer rankings if they beat Missouri. They've already beaten them, so just using W/L, it doesn't help OU at all. Not that they have a chance to win the NC, but still a flaw in the system (as someone else noted earlier in the year). [/ QUOTE ] I doubt this is anywhere near as clear-cut as you think it is. The different computer rankings all use different formulas, most of which are kept private. I'm sure it won't help them as much as if they beat Kansas, but it should still be a sizable boost. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think so. Most use formulas that compare the actual teams as compared to other teams. For example, they look at their opponents' opponents. That doesn't change with playing Missouri again and winning. Oklahoma>Missouri and that wouldn't change. |
#29
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
Harris Poll:
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> 1. Missouri (57) 11-1 2779 2. W. Va (45) 10-1 2753 3. Ohio St (11) 11-1 2638 4. Georgia 10-2 2368 5. LSU 10-2 2215 6. Kansas 11-1 2170 7. Virginia Tech 10-2 2164 8. Oklahoma 10-2 2132 9. USC 9-2 2059 10. Hawaii (1) 11-0 1829 11. Florida 9-3 1757 12. Boston College 10-2 1587 13. Arizona State 9-2 1446 14. Illinois 9-3 1254 15. Tennessee 9-3 1249 16. Wisconsin 9-3 911 </pre><hr /> |
#30
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Re: ***Official End of week 13 NCAAF Rank\'em***
lol hawaiiments
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