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#21
08-16-2006, 03:48 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
[ QUOTE ]
just move in every hand until 1st hour is done... [/ QUOTE ] Pretty much. [ QUOTE ] I play in the lower rebuys ($3-$10 on Stars) [/ QUOTE ] D. Negreanu had reportedly rebought 48 times at this year's WSOP $1,000 rebuy... My personal average is somewhere around 7 rebuys, but I play semi-maniac, not full maniac. 
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#23
08-16-2006, 03:51 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm gambling with 45% chance because aside from first 3-4 levels the blinds will make the pot odds correct (or almost correct) to gamble for your stack. [/ QUOTE ] If you have the correct pot odds, that's just good poker, independent of LAG or TAG or whatever. If you are passing up situations where you have the pot odds to call, then of course you are not going to do well. I think the word "variance" is being used here in a kind of nebulous, vague way. The reasoning is circular: 1. It's good to be LAG. 2. LAG = high variance 3. Therefore, it's good to have high variance. OR 1. It's good to finish in first. 2. Finishing in first = high variance 3. Therefore, it's good to have high variance. [/ QUOTE ] I'll clarify : If I have AKo in BB first hand of a tourney, villain open-pushes from SB and shows QQ... I call. It's -EV in most tourneys - but I'll make the call and not think twice about it...
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#26
08-16-2006, 03:57 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
[ QUOTE ]
I'll clarify : If I have AKo in BB first hand of a tourney, villain open-pushes from SB and shows QQ... I call. It's -EV in most tourneys - but I'll make the call and not think twice about it... [/ QUOTE ] Is this because of the value of time, as you discussed earlier, or because you actually prefer the 43% of slightly more than doubling your stack to having a normal stack?
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#27
08-16-2006, 03:58 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
I described it in this thread
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#28
08-16-2006, 04:10 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
This is the one, I believe.
I don't play rebuys, but watching this left an impression in my mind [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#29
08-16-2006, 04:12 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
The basic ideas presented here are very important for MTTers to remember
I am successful because my style courts variance; people think I just run good all the time, but the truth is I get much more mileage out of the times I run good than most people do
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#30
08-16-2006, 04:31 PM
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Re: Variance is good in tournament poker
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I'm gambling with 45% chance because aside from first 3-4 levels the blinds will make the pot odds correct (or almost correct) to gamble for your stack. [/ QUOTE ] If you have the correct pot odds, that's just good poker, independent of LAG or TAG or whatever. If you are passing up situations where you have the pot odds to call, then of course you are not going to do well. I think the word "variance" is being used here in a kind of nebulous, vague way. The reasoning is circular: 1. It's good to be LAG. 2. LAG = high variance 3. Therefore, it's good to have high variance. OR 1. It's good to finish in first. 2. Finishing in first = high variance 3. Therefore, it's good to have high variance. [/ QUOTE ] I'll clarify : If I have AKo in BB first hand of a tourney, villain open-pushes from SB and shows QQ... I call. It's -EV in most tourneys - but I'll make the call and not think twice about it... [/ QUOTE ] I would think more than twice about it. I would think three or four times about it: "Why is this guy showing me his cards?" "Why is this guy showing me his cards?" "Man, why is this guy showing me his cards?" "Is he a [censored] retard?" I'd still be thinking about it when I got home.
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