line histories?

[mmbt0ne]

Logistx,

There are some discrepancies between those numbers and Gold Sheet's numbers. Who do we believe?

[mmbt0ne]

Jesus H. Let's take one game: Panthers at Falcons September 3rd, 1995.

GS: ATL -9, OU 40
MrNFL: ATL -9.5, OU 41
repole: ATL -8.5, OU 40.5

Not one list agrees with any other on any stat.

[TomCowley]

Exactly. That's why I want to gather as many unique line archives as possible.

[thelyingthief]

i wouldn't expect, or, i should say, i am not surprised, to find the lines in disagreement: no doubt all of these db's rely upon different sources for their data. still, it's not an insurmountable problem: i would assume a line to have a range of value +/- .5, and determine my expected outcomes against that spectrum. besides, i think you could safely ignore these descrepancies, since each line is so peculiar to the matchup it attempts to represent. it's not as though they're using a mechanical procedure to create these values, to begin with; and i know they discuss their opening lines, and make any adjustments they deem prudent before posting them. these are numbers that not only rarely represent exact quantities, they really have no need to do so.

this degree of variance is just one of the reasons i've been seeking both opening and closing lines...as it better reveals the range of development expectable in the various situations.