200 NL: Folding my set deep

AcesUp2121 · #1 08-21-2007, 08:14 AM

200 6 max on Stars. Villain is unknown. Note that 9 times out of 10 I am raising this flop. I felt that villain was very weak, however. Does my underrepping my hand here turn this river into a call?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($78.40)
SB ($198)
BB ($168.70)
UTG ($325.25)
Hero ($421.85)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9

, 9

.
UTG raises to $8, Hero calls $8, 3 folds.

Flop: ($19) K

, 7

, 9

(2 players)
UTG bets $10, Hero calls $10.

Turn: ($39) Q

(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $25, UTG calls $25.

River: ($89) A

(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $55, UTG raises to $282.25, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $199

djj6835 · #2 08-21-2007, 08:17 AM

This seems like an easy call to me. Looks more like AK/AQ than TJ or a bigger set.

scv · #3 08-21-2007, 08:24 AM

Well, raise flop. But you know that allready. You are deep and you really want to build a pot right now. Also bet more on turn.

Unless he's really bluffy I'd also fold that cr on river. It really looks like the nuts to me.

SSES · #4 08-21-2007, 08:42 AM

terrible imo.

due to the high chance of you having a flush draw, vil should be raising TJ/sets on the turn.

river is a very easy call

also, both bets should be slightly bigger imo

RocktheCasbah · #5 08-21-2007, 08:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]
due to the high chance of you having a flush draw, vil should be raising TJ/sets on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

you would expect JT to bet/riase turn here. Its not impossible, but just odd for villain to cbet, hit an inside straight, then slow down on turn.

a decent player w JT would jam turn. this make it easier to call river

SinkRox · #6 08-21-2007, 09:18 AM

Your bet sizing is very small. Obv you need to raise the flop. Aside from that you should be raising close to pot sized on such a drawy board, then come the river his shove will likely be around a min raise and you can make the crying call easily.

scv · #7 08-21-2007, 08:49 AM

[ QUOTE ]

river is a very easy call

[/ QUOTE ]

I cant see anyone c/r this river with a worse hand for value. Villain plays this hand wierd whatever he has but I still dont think this river is a bluff.

52sooted · #8 08-21-2007, 09:39 AM

Oh wow. I think this might be a call.

Hattifnatt · #9 08-21-2007, 09:42 AM

raise flop, bet more on turn as played, river fold is fine, JT got there and he might have a higher set.

Thoth · #10 08-21-2007, 09:48 AM

Against an unknown I call this river. If I know villain is decent it's probably a fold.