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#281
05-11-2005, 05:09 AM
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Re: DERB
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Maybe James is the one in a billion (or trilion, etc...) luck bucket? [/ QUOTE ] Lets add to James hand total the hand totals of 10 or 20 other top notch 2+2ers who share similar stats and winrates. Average of say 500,000 hands apiece, will give us 5 million hands. I think you are going to need to come up with a number bigger than trillion. [/ QUOTE ] Please note the well placed "etc" in my post. - Andrew www.pokerstove.com 
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#282
05-11-2005, 05:22 AM
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Re: DERB
[ QUOTE ]
Now consider the fact that DERB is not alone in these achievements. We aren't talking about some guy that just got lucky. [/ QUOTE ] Usually before one considers a certain fact they are presented with some sort of evidence that what they are being told is indeed a fact and not some worthless BS being spouted by some clown on an internet forum.
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#283
05-11-2005, 05:26 AM
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Re: DERB
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Now consider the fact that DERB is not alone in these achievements. We aren't talking about some guy that just got lucky. [/ QUOTE ] Usually before one considers a certain fact they are presented with some sort of evidence that what they are being told is indeed a fact and not some worthless BS being spouted by some clown on an internet forum. [/ QUOTE ] At last we agree! That's been my point all along. Of course, the difficult part here is determining exactly which BS is worthless, and which isn't. - Andrew www.pokerstove.com
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#286
05-11-2005, 10:07 AM
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NOoooooooo!
Please don't do this. Prock, you are trying to get these guys all worked up.
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#287
05-11-2005, 10:08 AM
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Re: WHAT IS DERBS SCREENAME ON PP???
I am going to take a shot in the dark here. I think it is........... DERB !!!!!!!!!
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#288
05-11-2005, 10:22 AM
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Re: DERB
99.99% confidence;
SD/100 Lower Bound Upper Bound 20 0.04 5.14 21 -0.09 5.26 22 -0.22 5.39 23 -0.34 5.52 24 -0.47 5.65 25 -0.6 5.77 I think with his numbers the lotto argument is very valid, even if you tweak his SD and confidence a few points either way.
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#289
05-11-2005, 10:24 AM
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Re: WHAT IS DERBS SCREENAME ON PP???
[ QUOTE ]
I am going to take a shot in the dark here. I think it is........... DERB !!!!!!!!! [/ QUOTE ] dood your like psychic
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#290
05-11-2005, 03:03 PM
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Re: DERB
[ QUOTE ]
Even considering how high his BB/100 is? I just learned about confidence intervals in a class. I should be able to figure this out. Im gonna try anyways. edit-ok nm its already been done, i think this is what you are talking about anyways. [/ QUOTE ] Confidence intervals don't correctly predict the likelihood of this player being a winner, since this player was chosen because of the abnormality of his winrate.
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