SLOW GAME: Welcome to the Bay Area (Werewolf, Northern CA edition)

[metsandfinsfan]

yeah on reread there is no way i vote for roundtower today either

chuck/mdd/clown/books/hbe/soah/nich/stephen is my order of preference at the moment

[Stephen H]

[ QUOTE ]
soah switching to roundtower from boj at the last second makes soah look bad

[/ QUOTE ]

This is exactly the kind of thing that I'd always decide made soah wolfy in the past - and I was dead wrong every time because it's exactly the kind of thing he DOES NOT DO as a wolf. Soah-wolf there drills cueball no questions asked and would put the final nail in the coffin himself. He knows cueball will show up wolf at some point so why be the vote that killed a villager over cueball?

I'm not voting soah.
More later.

[ScottHoward v3.1]

****dead****
I only regret that I have but one life to give for my village. -nathan hale
suck it wolves! - scotthoward
****dead****

[antidan444]

DAY ONE

aaron - cueball
antidan - fcbl, aaron, cueball
bojtun - soah, nich, cueball
chuckles - bojtun
clown - mets, antidan, bojtun, roundtower
cueball - stephen, chuckles, clown, mets
fcbl - antidan, cueball
fnord - roundtower
HBE - stephen, bojtun
MDD - nich, roundtower
mets - chuckles, cueball
nich - antidan, roundtower, cueball, bojtun
roundtower - soah, HBE, antidan, cueball
scott - aaron, cueball
soah - roundtower, bojtun, cueball, roundtower
stephen - roundtower
books - bojtun, roundtower

VOTING ORDER
AARON votes for CUEBALL (1)
SCOTT votes for AARON (1)
METS votes for CHUCKLES (1)
HBE votes for STEPHEN (1)
FNORD votes for ROUNDTOWER (1)
STEPHEN votes for ROUNDTOWER (2)
ANTIDAN votes for FCBL (1)
FCBL votes for ANTIDAN (1)
CUEBALL votes for STEPHEN (2)
NICH votes for ANTIDAN (2)
MDD votes for NICH (1)
ROUNDTOWER votes for SOAH (1)
CLOWN votes for METS (1)
BOOKS votes for BOJTUN (1)
CUEBALL switches from STEPHEN (1) to CHUCKLES (2)
SCOTT switches from AARON (0) to CUEBALL (2)
ANTIDAN switches from FCBL (0) to AARON (1)
FCBL switches from ANTIDAN (1) to CUEBALL (3)
ROUNDTOWER switches from SOAH (0) to HBE (1)
NICH switches from ANTIDAN (0) to ROUNDTOWER (3)
CLOWN switches from METS (0) to ANTIDAN (1)
ROUNDTOWER switches from HBE (0) to ANTIDAN (2)
CUEBALL switches from CHUCKLES (1) to CLOWN (1)
SOAH votes for ROUNDTOWER (4)
BOJTUN votes for SOAH (1)
SOAH switches from ROUNDTOWER (3) to BOJTUN (2)
HBE switches from STEPHEN (0) to BOJTUN (3)
ANTIDAN switches from AARON (0) to CUEBALL (4)
MDD switches from NICH (0) to ROUNDTOWER (4)
CUEBALL switches from CLOWN (0) to METS (1)
SOAH switches from BOJTUN (2) to CUEBALL (5)
METS switches from CHUCKLES (0) to CUEBALL (6)
BOJTUN switches from SOAH (0) to NICH (1)
NICH switches from ROUNDTOWER (3) to CUEBALL (7)
BOJTUN switches from NICH (0) to CUEBALL (8)
CLOWN switches from ANTIDAN (1) to BOJTUN (3)
NICH switches from CUEBALL (7) to BOJTUN (4)
BOOKS switches from BOJTUN (3) to ROUNDTOWER (4)
ROUNDTOWER switches from ANTIDAN (0) to CUEBALL (8)
CLOWN switches from BOJTUN (2) to ROUNDTOWER (5)
CHUCKLES votes for BOJTUN (3)
SOAH switches from CUEBALL (7) to ROUNDTOWER (6)

When it was 4-4 cueball/RT, soah's and met's votes were huge there. I think they're both villagers, I just think soah got cold feet late. And wolf soah knows he looks bad when he makes that late switch, if it doesn't work ... I don't think he'd risk it. Cueball was a goner one of these first 2-3 days anyway. Mets, apologies and welcome to my villager list.

I'm really, really suspicious of MDD. Can't really articulate why, but his whole d1 strikes me as off. Not voting for him though because IMO there's a better vote out there.

First post of the game was aaron's ...

[ QUOTE ]
scratch cueball

[/ QUOTE ]

... followed by Scott ...

[ QUOTE ]
aaronk
see yas tomorrow

[/ QUOTE ]

... then this later from Scott ...

[ QUOTE ]
aaronk is 100% wolf. ga-ron-teed

[/ QUOTE ]

... without aaron posting anything else.

aaron. And this is why I voted for him yesterday.

[Stephen H]

Okay my current villager list goes something like dan/soah/roundtower + mostly mets

And I'm comfortable with Lynch Chuckles

[antidan444]

I'd be OK with a chuckles lynch too ... I suppose the wolves could have set up aaron here.

[clowntable]

elroy is a wolf.

[antidan444]

Just thinking out loud here ... is it possible that cueball/RT was wolf/wolf, and that bojtun is a villager who a wolf or two tried to get his wagon rolling to break the cueball/RT deal up?

Bojtun's wagon went like this:

books, soah, HBE on.
Soah off (to cueball).
Clown and nich on (nich had been on cueball).
Books and clown off (both to roundtower ... hmmmmmmmm.)
Chuckles on late.

Well, I'm absolutely certain RT and bojtun aren't both woles, at least. What does everyone else make of this?

[antidan444]

And I think if bojtun is village, I'd rate the odds of soah being mistaken about him compared to soah being a wolf about 90/10.

[antidan444]

unvote

The more I consider everything, the less likely I think it is that aaron is a wolf.