Read this before starting a "Who Do I pick in Survivor" Thread - Page 24

DonkeyKongSr · #**231** 10-19-2007, 12:32 PM

With your remaining picks, it has to be Seattle. St. Louis is terrible, has no wins, has absolutely the worst offense in the league due to injuries, and has only had two close games at home against teams that aren't very good (DET & SF). They aren't winning in Seattle.

Here are all top spreads for reference. NYG is another decent pick (the one I'm going with) but if you have St. Louis's opponents on the road available at this point, I think you need to pick them.

At Washington -8 Arizona
At New Orleans -8 Atlanta
At Dallas -9.5 Minnesota
New England -16.5 At Miami
At NY Giants -9 San Francisco
At Cincinnati -6 NY Jets
At Philadelphia -5.5 Chicago
At Seattle -8.5 St. Louis

Tyler Durden · #**232** 10-21-2007, 09:02 AM

I appreciate your suggestion but I'm taking the Saints this week. Wish me luck.

True North · #**233** 10-23-2007, 08:37 AM

What do we think about Tennessee this week? Looking at the schedule, the Titans and Chargers seem to be the only good options (maybe the Steelers), but the fire situation in San Diego has me worried about that game.

I've taken SEA/CHI/NE/DAL/IND/BAL/NYG so far. There are five people left, two of which have taken both the Chargers and the Titans already (and the Steelers as well).

CocoaKrispies · #**234** 10-23-2007, 08:41 AM

This week sucks. I'm taking the Chargers I think.. used Den/Jax/Ne/Dal/Tenn/Bal/NYG so far.

I wish I would have saved the Pats..

DonkeyKongSr · #**235** 10-23-2007, 12:11 PM

Nobody out again for the 3rd week in a row in my league and there's one guy left who still have NE and Indy to use at any time (I hope he goes out without using them).

I don't like TEN this week. OAK has been playing fairly competitively all year. They haven't really been out of a game since opening day and the Titans record is blown up a little by wins over NO, ATL, and HOU, all terrible teams.

Best picks I personally see this week...
SD vs. HOU - My pick at the moment, especially since SD doesn't really have a soft home game the rest of the year. Plus SD has looked great the past few weeks while HOU has been terrible due to injuries.

CLE @ STL - It is a road game pick, but STL can't score any offensive touchdowns right now and CLE is rested from a bye.

NE vs. WAS - If you still have them. Washington isn't putting up a lot of points. They've only broke 21 points once and NE has put up 34+ every game.

NYG @ MIA - Another road game, but winless Miami without their #1 offensive weapon isn't going to be pretty the rest of the year.

That's pretty much all I see this week.

True North · #**236** 10-23-2007, 01:03 PM

NYG/MIA is in London. I wouldn't touch it even if I could.

splashpot · #**237** 10-23-2007, 01:08 PM

[ QUOTE ]
NYG/MIA is in London. I wouldn't touch it even if I could.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why? Playing in London will somehow give Miami a better chance of winning? I never understand reasoning like this.

DonkeyKongSr · #**238** 10-23-2007, 01:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
NYG/MIA is in London. I wouldn't touch it even if I could.

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh yeah, forgot about that. Stay away. We have no idea what wacky stuff may go on there. Maybe Eli doesn't adjust to the time difference well and throws 4 picks. Or something equally wacky. Who knows what'll happen.

True North · #**239** 10-23-2007, 01:11 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
NYG/MIA is in London. I wouldn't touch it even if I could.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why? Playing in London will somehow give Miami a better chance of winning? I never understand reasoning like this.

[/ QUOTE ]
I think the game has a better chance of being very sloppy, and those games tend to be unpredictable.

splashpot · #**240** 10-23-2007, 01:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
NYG/MIA is in London. I wouldn't touch it even if I could.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why? Playing in London will somehow give Miami a better chance of winning? I never understand reasoning like this.

[/ QUOTE ]
I think the game has a better chance of being very sloppy, and those games tend to be unpredictable.

[/ QUOTE ]
Ok. That's a fair point. I guess you want to minimize variance in a survivor pool. If we were talking about a straight up bet, I would argue that either team could be sloppy and your EV would remain the same, variance would go up.