Brantford 20/40 - ATo

[stinkypete]

and fwiw, it doesn't sound like you're ready for this game. are you a proven winner at lower stakes?

[celiholic]

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You have to bet since you have the nut str8 and any T pays you off. Now, let's analyze the call.

If he has a boat, he would have to have KK, QQ, JJ, 99, KQ, QJ, or Q9. We can rule out KK/QQ/JJ given his PF & flop play. We can almost for certain rule out 99 since one would have to be completely retarded to call with 99 on the flop since he has 0 clean outs. I would have expected KQ to have c-r'ed the flop, Q9 would have likely mucked, but QJ is definitely possible. If he hit a baby flush on the turn, I would have expected a line other than c/c...if he was afraid to raise the turn with a hand like 5s4s, then he should have been more afraid to raise the river with that hand. A str8 on the turn might have called, but then I would have expected a river donk instead of a c/r. Unbelievably, I would expect some people to play JsTs this way (this is Brantford, after all). Also, he may be really bad and think his AQ is good.

Given that he has played the hand extremely weirdly, I think you have to call since you are getting 10:1. Since you're 2 to his left, if the river call is a mistake (albeit a small one), you'll learn a hell of a lot about the player two seats to your right.

[/ QUOTE ]

qft ..
.. lol