10/25 NL live simple 3-bet situation

[marrek]

Hi all
I'm new at this level, so my thinking may be behind all yours.

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I am thinking check, but just want to make sure. I think he will fold QQ if I bet, but I may be able to extract some value from it later if I check. And if he has AK I can get value now or later.

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I am betting here, hoping he has a hand that play a big pot. If he has QQ or JJ, you are giving a little value, but if he is looking to check-raise with Ak or 33, you don't give him the chance to make a big mistake.

If he has anything other than AK, 33, and maybe Kq, he's not likely going to play a big pot anyway.

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Since the stacks are not terribly deep, it doesn't seem too important to start building a pot here.

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Well, if you check the flop, an appropriate turn size bet would be ~500, leaving you with 2150 left to get in. That would allow KQ and AK to get away from his hand.

If you bet ~500 on the flop, bet ~1000 on the turn, he can't fold for another ~1000 on the river. To me, it seems easier to stack him.

And, the turn can always kill your action.

marrek