Party $400 Over Agg ?

[Big Dave D]

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You both played it bad, but he played it better than you. You know he has two aces, and you have the ace of spades. There is a 22% chance that he has the nut flush draw (2/3 he has the A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and 1/3 that he has another heart). 22% of the time you will have 8 outs and win approximately 30% of the time. Even if we are generous and say you have the full 12 outs giving you about 44% equity the remainder of the time, your total equity is 0.30(0.22)+0.70(.44)= 37.4%. That means you have to make up a fair chunk of equity when he doesn't have the nut flush draw and folds just to push your hand into a profitable bluff. Keep in mind that this is also a best case scenario where he has no blockers.

Since players on party rarely ever fold aces in a reraised pot on the flop vs a single checkraise you played it poorly. Your opponent, probably having seen you play similar hands previous, called with 'one pair' getting better than 5:2 on his money.

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Once people understand how easy it is to crack aces, they start to forget that sometimes the aces has something extra as well. And in these scenarios NFDs are a big part of it. Nice post.

gl

bdd