#11
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Re: Official review thread, Tackleberry
[ QUOTE ]
Barry, thanks as well for your habitual helpful analysis! 49: I already mentioned my thoughts - but I laughed when I imagined your reaction. Interesting. Anyone else feel that that's a good reason to shove K8 here. I mean, doesn't that 16% mean that he calls down light a lot? Doesn't that mean he's liable to call with any 10? And that his hand here is almost always a bluff and he's not leading with anything worse? I would love this play with A10 and think it's sweet with K10 for value given his rate. still not sure, but please don't think I'm being obstinate here - I'm trying to learn based on what you said. Barry [/ QUOTE ] I'm not saying this makes me like the play or anything, but 16% is an unbelievably low went to showdown rate. That being said, it takes a ton of hands for this stat to converge somewhere near it's real mean, so I'd take it with a large grain of salt. |
#12
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Re: Official review thread, Tackleberry
Hand 25 - is that a planned post-flop steal as a way of varying your play? Are you intending to bet any flop? Or just a value bet? I get into a lot of trouble in BvB hands and am interested in your thought process.
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#13
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Re: Official review thread, Tackleberry
@Barry, Dunkman, I played the tourney quite some time ago so I cannot reconstruct my thoughts in detail anymore. I "suspect" that the combination of his postflop weakness (by his stats), his passivity in this hand (which made me thinking that he was on a draw) and the obvious large (!) riverbet (what did he assume with it?!) made me thinking that I could easily steal the pot with a shove.
@udbrky: Exactly! I am a friend of this kind of varying my style. The "delayed blind steal" with just completing the SB and betting ANY flop is much less obvious than openraising in the SB. Certainly you risk a raise of BB (because he might assume that I have a weak hand) but as well you risk a resteal when you raise. It comes up to the same. For this reason I also sometimes just complete big hands in the SB to keep my opponent guessing about my real strength (and prevent him from auto-raising after I completed). |
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