+++Thur NCAAF FSU -5.5 @ Wake Forest O/U43.5+++

[MyTurn2Raise]

I was tempted, but passed
I debated heavily on splitting my action on the spread and ML

[nhoj]

I like a small ML on Wake tonight myself. Let Hope this Dr Boob guy loves FSU..

[MicroBob]

wouldn't he have made his pick by now if he was going to take a position?

[iggymcfly]

I'm thinking I might bet Wake to start here, just with the intention of scalping it back on the live betting if they get an early lead at home. I'll have to wait until the game starts though to see if Matchbook's live betting's going to be on the spread of the ML.

(I'd only seen it on the spread until last night, but it was the ML in the Navy/Pitt game.)

[ICantCash]

Courtesy Dr. Bob's Free Analysis

Florida St. (-5.5) 26 WAKE FOREST 21
04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Oct-11 - Stats Matchup
Florida State’s offense has taken off since Xavier Lee replaced long time starter Drew Weatherford at quarterback midway through the Alabama game two weeks ago. Weatherford has been mediocre at best over his career while Lee has averaged 7.3 yards per pass play on 240 career pass plays (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average QB). Lee has been even better in 1 ½ games this season, averaging 9.3 yppp, and the Seminoles’ attack is now considerably better than their season rating of average. Wake Forest is 0.4 yppl better than average on defense, but Florida State’s attack is a bit better than that with Lee at the controls. Wake Forest has star quarterback Riley Skinner back but the Demon Deacons have still be 0.4 yppl worse than average offensively with Skinner under center and they’ll probably struggle against a good FSU stop unit that has allowed just 4.6 yppl this season to teams that would average 5.2 yppl against an average defensive team. My math model favors Florida State by 8 points in this game but Wake Forest has always played better as an underdog under coach Jim Grobe (30-15-1 ATS) than they have as a favorite (6-20 ATS), so I’ll lean slightly with the Demon Deacons in this one.

[NajdorfDefense]

1u on FSU -4.5

Dr Bob on Okla, Illini, SanJ, Air force, Houston

[Needle77]

1u on FSU -5.5.
1u on u43.5

Here's to hoping FSU's defense is on tonight.

[MicroBob]

I'm in agreement with Dr. Bob on Lee. He looked pretty sharp to me.
I'm on FSU at -5.

[internetdonk]

i liked WF, but Ive been on a losing streak after a record breaking Sept-- Naturally this means Im on FLa St -4 fro 2 units and FLa -2.5 (1st half) for 1 unit....

[Thremp]

I'm on wake and over.