#11
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
Actually, game theory dictates that when your opponent's folding frequency is 0%, your bluffing frequency should be 0% as well. It's probably not that extreme here, but I guarantee you villain is never folding a big overpair here in fear of quads, and only rarely folding a medium overpair.
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#12
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
these stakes are way above my head, but I think bluffing here is pretty stupid unless you have a great read on your opponent and his tendencies. things liek zeebo theorem (hes not gonna fold big pairs cuz u rep quads, and hes not gonna put u on a big pairs cuz u didnt 3 bet pre) and not running bluffs at players who could stack off light seem to make this a pretty straight up peel or fold spot.
Personally here im not sure, I think preflop is a call after the flop I dont think your doing well enough against his range of hands that raises utg and then dont hit the six outter enough to justify a peel of 150 to win 310. I dont think we will be winning that often on the river, altho i havent run any simulations. Im also assuming when he checks the turn we ck behind cuz betting to protect vs six outters wont be worth the investment with how often hes ck calling for pot control with mid pairs. Also running an advanced multi street bluff in this once raised and c bet pot doesnt seem worth it at all, strictly from a math standpoint Im skeptical of the success to investment ratio to make it +EV |
#13
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
In theory one could raise as much as his c-bet and hand range allows, considering the big stacks and that one has not enough of a line of what happens if one just calls.
I think they should know something about what to do in the NL mid forum. |
#14
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
I think the idea of bluffing is crazy here. I'm completely happy to be raising only honestly in these situations.
I'd only continue with this hand if i felt he wasn't great and i had a good read on his play and would be able to out guess him in the guessing game of the next two streets. Against good players i'm happy to just give it up on the flop even though i'm ahead mostly. |
#15
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
Call flop and possibly call turn. If river is a nice bluffcard for him, and he's the type to fire 3 barrels here, then maybe call river but vs most aggro regs I'd be just calling two barrels.
Raising flop is flushing EV into the toilet unless your idea is to get him to bluff 3bet shove over you... |
#16
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Re: 10/20 NL 6handed
bluffing here is horrible you cant rep anything. if he folds its bc u were most likely ahead anyway.
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