silentbob's Week 1 player props thread

[silentbob]

Hi everyone. Pinnacle's U.S. demise in January pretty much killed any interest I had in sports betting, but I've got the itch again with the return of football season. As those of you who followed me last season know, I tend to pick a handful of props per week and bet the under. Last year I did pretty well, winning nearly two-thirds of the time. Obviously, that could have easily been variance but we'll find out soon enough.

I have one bet for tonight's game.

Joseph Addai under 104.5 rushing yards at -110 for 1 unit (BetGameDay/VIP). The line is worse on Bodog (under 100.5 yards at -120), not sure I would've bet that one. I can see a three-digit line for LT2 or LJ, but Addai is wayyyyyy too unproven to get that kind of respect. He topped 100 yards only once last season, though in fairness D. Rhodes took away some carries. The Saints certainly aren't a killer run defense, but the Colts lost Tarik Glenn. Enough question marks that I think there is value here.

More to come on Sunday.