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#1
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88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
I'm fairly certain I've made the right laydown here due to reverse implied odds and the lack of real reads this early in the MTT.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Button (t3270) SB (t2970) BB (t2970) Hero (t3040) UTG+1 (t2650) MP1 (t2770) MP2 (t2550) MP3 (t3910) CO (t2870) Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Hero calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP3 calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls t30, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: (t180) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets t90</font>, BB calls t90, Hero folds Is anyone reraising here? Calling is rubbish. |
#2
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
I toss it for the same reasons as you did.
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#3
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
It's so little I think I call and re-evaluate based on what people do on the turn. You're getting like 5:1. I don't even really care about the gutshot, I think you might have the best hand here. Just be prepared to fold bad turns.
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#4
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
[ QUOTE ]
It's so little I think I call and re-evaluate based on what people do on the turn. You're getting like 4:1. I don't even really care about the gutshot, I think you might have the best hand here. Just be prepared to fold bad turns. [/ QUOTE ] What would constitute a good turn here? I'm going w/ OP for a fold here. Crapload of reverse implied odds here and pretty horrible position, relative and absolute. |
#5
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
An undercard, the board pairing, the gutshot coming in. Even a 9 isn't horrible because you have two of the 8s for the straight.
I just hate passing up what is likely gonna be 6:1 or better. That's almost enough for the gutshot by itself. |
#6
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
i concede i never do any reverse implied odds calculations in my play (i thought that these only complicate my game unnecessery - but this might be a leak of course).
in your hand i also think you have the best hand right now. as it was a limping round you can be up against nearly everything. from the flop betting most likely are draws and maybe someone paired the board. i would raise to 500. if i take it down right now - great. if i find a caller i will most likely get a freecard on the turn. if i get reraised im off. i try to keep my decisions simple best hand=bet |
#7
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
[ QUOTE ]
I just hate passing up what is likely gonna be 6:1 or better. That's almost enough for the gutshot by itself. [/ QUOTE ] Don't forget that only three of the fives could be worth calling for a gutshot. With so many people in the hand and the action shown so far, the five of hearts, that would complete your straight, has a great chance of filling a flush that beats you. It's not for sure, but I don't count it as an out when making pot adds analysis. It's a drawy board yes, but don't discount the fact one of the blinds has a made straight or set already. I'm personally very wary of blinds in multi way unraised pots because they can literally hold any two cards. He also has no solid reads on the others yet to act behind him. I fold as well here. The enticing pot odds are illusionary because the reverse implied odds will kick you in the ass. |
#8
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Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.
On 3K stacks, I don't mind a raise PF. I call the flop bet.
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