10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?

Equal · #1 08-08-2007, 02:52 PM

$10/$25 No Limit Holdem
5 players

Stacks:
UTG ($2533.00)
CO ($8238.50)
BTN ($2666.50)
Hero ($2793.00)
BB ($4645.00)

Pre-flop: ($35, 5 players) Hero is SB K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls $25, CO calls $25, BTN calls $25, Hero calls $15, BB checks

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($125, 5 players)
Hero bets $125, BB calls $125, UTG calls $125, 2 folds

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($500, 3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $190, Hero raises to $885, BB goes all-in $4495, UTG folds, Hero?

$1758 left to win $3333, 1.9 to 1... need 34.5% equity for break even.

Villain is a kinda unknown 24/12 seems okay, not too dangerous.

Lyrikz · #2 08-08-2007, 03:19 PM

Why did you raise the turn??
I think even if you didnt raise the turn BB was pushing regardless....

Lot of outs there. Hard to put villian on anything with that history. I would pick a different spot. If i was villian what would i be pushing with there. Nut flush draw, trip nines?? Without some kind of preflop raise, he can have anything....

UMTerp · #3 08-08-2007, 03:29 PM

Pretty sure your math's wrong:

$125 preflop
$375 on flop
UTG's $190 + Your $885 + BB's $2643 on the turn

Means you're calling $1758 to win the $4218 in the pot. More than enough money in the pot to make the call with your 15 outs, unless you're discounting some of them pretty severely.

Equal · #4 08-08-2007, 03:42 PM

Good catch UMTerp... I missed my $885. Need 29.4% equity for break-even.

jj12 · #5 08-08-2007, 04:00 PM

I think BB will have 75 a lot. I would fold this. I also hate your turn check raise.

Equal · #6 08-08-2007, 04:26 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think BB will have 75 a lot. I would fold this. I also hate your turn check raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

We have 26% equity vs. all 75o/75s, and only need 29% to break-even.

Yes, all most nits will hate the raise.