100nl, QQ 3bet pot, deep. - Page 2

Casper05 · #11 07-31-2007, 10:36 PM

Well we already beat JJ- so I'm not worried about that folding...and I think he'll fold KK way more than enough for a shove to be +EV.

1gotth3nuts · #12 07-31-2007, 10:37 PM

meh, idn i obviously didnt play the hand particularly well. villain ended up having AQ. I think if i checked behind on turn, villain wouldve just tried to get a cheap showdown.. so at least i wouldn't have lost the $60 that I bet on the turn.

thanks for comments

wowacedude · #13 07-31-2007, 10:59 PM

So you're betting ~100 to pick up 210 pot when he got kings, so let's say for simplicity that he always folds kings and always calls w/Ax. I think that makes some sense right?

So thats 12 combos of AK, 12 combos of AQ, 12 combos of AJ, 3 combos of AA versus 6 combos of KK.

but let's say he is betting AX a few times on the turn so lets say 20 combos of AX+3 combos of AA versus KK.
23 combos are calling us and we lose vs 6 combos where he folds and we win.
23 times we are losing ~100$ and 6 times we are winning ~220. Seems like a shove is bad to me.
I could very well have [censored] up somewhere tho, haha [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]